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Recent content by FairOntario

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    Ray of Hope - 96th Draw

    Thank you for your reply. In this case, your illustration should be a cut off rule, and not a tie break rule. According to/quoting IRCC: Tie-breaking rule: December 31, 2017 at 12:14:21 UTC Tie-break: a means of deciding a winner from competitors who have tied. So, if this date is the tie...
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    Ray of Hope - 96th Draw

    Again, if the oldest profile on 441 (31/12/17) is ranked higher, the only way it can occupy the 3750th position is if it is the only profile on 441 for that draw - and the 3749th profile is 442 - therefore no need for a tie breaker.
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    Ray of Hope - 96th Draw

    True, so if the oldest profile on 441 (31/12/17) is ranked higher, the only way it can occupy the 3750th position is if it is the only profile on 441 for that draw - and the 3749th profile is 442 - therefore no need for a tie breaker.
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    Ray of Hope - 96th Draw

    Thank you @abhishek_89. How about this: For the 25/07/18 draw. Cut off: 441 So called tie-breaking date: 31/12/17 Draw size: 3750 Assuming 3700 scored 442+, and 55 candidates on 441 (50 slots left to fill). According to IRCC: If more than one candidate has the lowest score, the cut-off is...
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    Ray of Hope - 96th Draw

    Thank you for this. Please consider this assumption: For the 25/07/18 draw. Cut off: 441 So called tie-breaking date: 31/12/17 Draw size: 3750 Assuming 3700 scored 442+, and 55 candidates on 441 Tie-breaking rule implies: from oldest profile to the latest profile with a stop at the fixed draw...
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    Ray of Hope - 96th Draw

    until that person shows up, it remains a theory. As far as the numbers go, it's yet to be disproven!
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    Ray of Hope - 96th Draw

    It's the key to almost accurate projections. From all indications so far, the theory appears true.
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    Ray of Hope - 96th Draw

    Exactly why I'm asking everyone. Some draws past, there was someone. I couldn't validate these claims though.
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    Ray of Hope - 96th Draw

    @hope2018, @georgedac So, the tie breaking date and time (31/12/17) does not necessarily mean no ITA recipients after this date with the same lowest score, as a lot of people assume, hence the hypothesis.
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    Ray of Hope - 96th Draw

    So, how do you reconcile this with the so called tie-breaking date and time?
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    Ray of Hope - 96th Draw

    The numbers are not adding up. IRCC's statements if reconsidered supports the 1st theory: * The highest ranked candidates are invited during rounds of invitations. If we issue 3,500 invitations during a round, the system will pick the top 3,500 candidates at that time. The cut-off for the round...
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    Ray of Hope - 96th Draw

    The date of the tie breaking rule might imply the profile entry date and time for the lowest ranking candidate for that particular draw. Therefore, this does not necessarily mean that nobody after the tie breaking date and time got ITAs: More debate and input needed here. So, if you're reading...
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    Ray of Hope - 96th Draw

    There seeming plan this year is to rather have a 3 week draw delay, to maintain their bi weekly draw cycle, rather than a back to back draw which would provide succour to a lot of us here. No harm hoping for a surprise draw tomorrow though with a 4000 to 4250 draw size.
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    Didn't lose birthday points

    Interesting, didn't know we were thinking along the same line, means I rushed into conclusion then. From which application....is the issue. For now, maybe he's busy preparing for his flight to Canada. Let's hope he remembers the 'helpless' people he left on this forum, and returns to clarify...
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    Ray of Hope - 96th Draw

    I hope CIC is not planning a 3 week delay sometime soon/in September to maintain the baseless biweekly draw cycle. If this is the case, I suggest tomorrow would be a rational time for a back to back draw to minimise/counter the dastardly effects of the 'supposed' upcoming draw delay (although...