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I guess it all comes down to 7th September then.. touchwood everything goes according to plan and we all get good news soon
 
Nope, that's only a small fraction of apps. Avg processing time for CEC in 2019 (no covid) was 7 months. If IRCC believed they could do that many CECs in 2021 they wouldn't have dropped the number of CEC invites.

Exactly. If they will continue CEC it will not be for this year quota. I will not be surprised if they will be running 3 draws in parallel :)
 
Lol, September to December is 4months; they can invite and land CECs within that period.

Do you think they will exceed the number of ITA's issued this year since they are very close to the limit and still 4 months are left? This never happened before so I think draws will stop outright.
 
Do you think they will exceed the number of ITA's issued this year since they are very close to the limit and still 4 months are left? This never happened before so I think draws will stop outright.
They will not. They are behind their targets for last year, this year is well etc.
 
Lol, September to December is 4months; they can invite and land CECs within that period.
Not really feasible. Consider average of 2weeks to 1 month between ITA and AOR and another 2-3 months between AOR to eCOPR; thats an average of 4 months. Conducting CEC-only draws from Sept 29 is not practical for meeting 2021 targets. 90 % of CECs invited from September 29 will land in January at the earliest.

Why go through that hassle when they can easy land 30,000 FSW-O and PNP-O whose applications are finalized or close to being approved or even those that have expired COPRS when the border reopens
 
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To be honest I'd be willing to pay up to CAD5000 if they can guarantee my file will be finalized with a PPR under 4 months. That amount is like paying an officer's full salary for the month so the officer can focus on my app and finish eligibility, medicals, info sharing in a month. Then we wait for CSIS for 3 months to do my security and the officer can take another day or two on it to issue CoPR and PPR. -> 4 months in total

I recall waiting 13 months for a fairly straightforward H1B renewal after working in the US for 2 years. After postponing my vacation plans (I would be unable to re-enter on an expired visa and I would need to return to India for the renewal) multiple times, I paid USD 1500 for the premium processing and got the confirmation within 10 days. Sometimes:
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Do you think they will exceed the number of ITA's issued this year since they are very close to the limit and still 4 months are left? This never happened before so I think draws will stop outright.
ITAs don’t have limits or quotas. The index they care about is the ‘number of landed immigrants’. Either way; draws need to run in the 4th quarter if they plan to achieve next year’s even higher overall target of 411,000
 
ITAs don’t have limits or quotas. The index they care about is the ‘number of landed immigrants’. Either way; draws need to run in the 4th quarter if they plan to achieve next year’s even higher overall target of 411,000
Exactly - the problem is that a lot of people think that quota is based on ITAs which is wrong.
 
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ITAs don’t have limits or quotas. The index they care about is the ‘number of landed immigrants’. Either way; draws need to run in the 4th quarter if they plan to achieve next year’s even higher overall target of 411,000

But they have never gone beyond their ITA target before and there are so many outlanders still waiting to land.
 
But they have never gone beyond their ITA target before and there are so many outlanders still waiting to land.

This is not ITA target - it is how many people will land in Canada physically, not ITA number... Last two years were poor because of pandemic, not many people were able to move there.
 
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