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Ray of Hope - 125th Draw

robin6869 said:
next draw should be 456 with tie break Jan again if inflow is not crazy and draw occurs on 28 again. Hope for the best :)
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If draw occurs on 28th, then cutoff will be around 452.
4th of September, it will be 455±1.
Considering PNPs granted, 456±1.
 
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rajapanesar said:
If draw occurs on 28th, then cutoff will be around 452.
4th of September, it will be 455±1.
Considering PNPs granted, 456±1.
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Bro I hope you are right but cut off is higher since may, Dont you think there is high density for people between 450-455?? Again i am not expert at all. I hope you are right
 
Milanarora said:
I know its too early for me to ask for predictions. I am very happy that the score came down like this but the tie breaker rule made me sad today. I am hopeful for the next draw. What do you think @Angel1113 @13nitinsharma @Kenneth89 @NikSharma01 @Punitsingh
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You should be through in the next draw for sure if draw is conducted on Sept 2/3/4.
My rough predictions for next draw if it happen after 2 week gap with 3600 itas is: 456 with tie breaker June/July.
Also, there is a good chance of increase in ITA in sept. Fingers crossed!
 
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Wow, great news people. I told you that all it takes is one B2B DRAW, AND IT HAPPENED. After months of bad run, congratulations to everyone who got the invitation.

Regular draws with rising to 3,900 later in the year will bring back the cut off to low 440s I believe.

Also, a lot of people won't accept their PNPs and will get direct ITA and few will take a chance. So, don't believe people with very high scores are going to enter the pool.

Once again, congratulations to everyone. Give it until the year end/starting next year - things will come back where they were.
 
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robin6869 said:
high density for people between 450-455
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Many of them opted for PNP too. We will never know how many but still.
If you observe the pool table as on 15th of August, 451+ are about 7200. Adding 1000 more until today in 451+ area, which is a lot but then it isn't, we are left with 4600 candidates with 451+. Add a week's worth of candidates at 1400 and consider a draw on 28th with 3600 ITAs, 2400 are left where
All 2400 could be 451, or
1200 will be at 452, or
200-300 will be at 453.

You see my pattern and how I did it.
These are still "predictions" and not words to swear by.
 
i was gonna book ielts this week and i am at 457 what you guys think should i wait or go for it
 
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Angel1113 said:
After May's 4 week gap between regular draws score went high. So pool had candidates waiting since may for their ITA. Which resulted in a huge accumulation of profiles with high score. Today's cut off is 457 which means candidates with 457+ who were waiting since May in the pool are cleared. Now if morw high score candidates will enter the pool with 457+ they will most likely get ITA in following draw (just giving example to explain not making any statements. lol!) Therefore it is a positive thing for candidates who are still waiting.
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You mean from March since the tie break on March right? Not May
 
rajapanesar said:
Aye, you're right.
This guy was so curious, he made me answer it with a detailed question in the first place.
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Ofcourse was curious, and I'm still wondering.. and there so many probable open-ended scenarios that cropped up in my mind, that it makes me question my assumption till now, that CIC actually did the draw based on solid math. But this makes me wonder .. there is so much of luck to this I guess.
But anyways a positive sign in a while for everybody
 
yg96 said:
i was gonna book ielts this week and i am at 457 what you guys think should i wait or go for it
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Unless it is expiring before next draw or soon. I think no need to spend money.
 
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