+1(514) 937-9445 or Toll-free (Canada & US) +1 (888) 947-9445

Ray of Hope - 125th Draw

robin6869

Hero Member
Jul 31, 2017
278
252

robin6869

Hero Member
Jul 31, 2017
278
252
If draw occurs on 28th, then cutoff will be around 452.
4th of September, it will be 455±1.
Considering PNPs granted, 456±1.
Bro I hope you are right but cut off is higher since may, Dont you think there is high density for people between 450-455?? Again i am not expert at all. I hope you are right
 

Angel1113

Hero Member
Jun 6, 2019
770
896
Ontario
Category........
CEC
NOC Code......
4212
AOR Received.
24 June 2020
Med's Done....
05-06-2020
I know its too early for me to ask for predictions. I am very happy that the score came down like this but the tie breaker rule made me sad today. I am hopeful for the next draw. What do you think @Angel1113 @13nitinsharma @Kenneth89 @NikSharma01 @Punitsingh
You should be through in the next draw for sure if draw is conducted on Sept 2/3/4.
My rough predictions for next draw if it happen after 2 week gap with 3600 itas is: 456 with tie breaker June/July.
Also, there is a good chance of increase in ITA in sept. Fingers crossed!
 

armaanwadhwa

Hero Member
Jun 30, 2017
378
338
Wow, great news people. I told you that all it takes is one B2B DRAW, AND IT HAPPENED. After months of bad run, congratulations to everyone who got the invitation.

Regular draws with rising to 3,900 later in the year will bring back the cut off to low 440s I believe.

Also, a lot of people won't accept their PNPs and will get direct ITA and few will take a chance. So, don't believe people with very high scores are going to enter the pool.

Once again, congratulations to everyone. Give it until the year end/starting next year - things will come back where they were.
 

rajapanesar

Champion Member
Jan 31, 2019
1,731
562
35
Punjab, India
Category........
FSW
NOC Code......
1241
App. Filed.......
19/09/2019
high density for people between 450-455
Many of them opted for PNP too. We will never know how many but still.
If you observe the pool table as on 15th of August, 451+ are about 7200. Adding 1000 more until today in 451+ area, which is a lot but then it isn't, we are left with 4600 candidates with 451+. Add a week's worth of candidates at 1400 and consider a draw on 28th with 3600 ITAs, 2400 are left where
All 2400 could be 451, or
1200 will be at 452, or
200-300 will be at 453.

You see my pattern and how I did it.
These are still "predictions" and not words to swear by.
 

yg96

Star Member
Jun 3, 2019
152
107
Category........
CEC
NOC Code......
2253
i was gonna book ielts this week and i am at 457 what you guys think should i wait or go for it
 
  • Like
Reactions: #EEC

CananEE123

Full Member
Aug 20, 2019
26
10
After May's 4 week gap between regular draws score went high. So pool had candidates waiting since may for their ITA. Which resulted in a huge accumulation of profiles with high score. Today's cut off is 457 which means candidates with 457+ who were waiting since May in the pool are cleared. Now if morw high score candidates will enter the pool with 457+ they will most likely get ITA in following draw (just giving example to explain not making any statements. lol!) Therefore it is a positive thing for candidates who are still waiting.
You mean from March since the tie break on March right? Not May
 

georgeb88

Star Member
Aug 15, 2019
171
102
Category........
PNP
Nomination.....
May2021
AOR Received.
14-06-2021
Aye, you're right.
This guy was so curious, he made me answer it with a detailed question in the first place.
Ofcourse was curious, and I'm still wondering.. and there so many probable open-ended scenarios that cropped up in my mind, that it makes me question my assumption till now, that CIC actually did the draw based on solid math. But this makes me wonder .. there is so much of luck to this I guess.
But anyways a positive sign in a while for everybody
 

Angel1113

Hero Member
Jun 6, 2019
770
896
Ontario
Category........
CEC
NOC Code......
4212
AOR Received.
24 June 2020
Med's Done....
05-06-2020
i was gonna book ielts this week and i am at 457 what you guys think should i wait or go for it
Unless it is expiring before next draw or soon. I think no need to spend money.