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My score is 449 and it got updated on 6-Feb. Waited for more than 3 months to get ITA and even the future wait is not known with this 3 weeks gap and one 3 week gap after 30th Jan, 2019.
Can empathize with you mate. I updated my score on 25th Mar to 448 and I was gung-ho about my chances, started to daydream and it all came crashing down with relentless high CRS draws.
 
Nitin - So, you are saying there would be 1,150 candidates with the score 450? My score is also 450 and filed the application on 6th May. Not sure if we will get it this time. All the best to you Bro.
Brother, this was my old post and I reanalyzed the numbers and shared the updated predictions later. See updated post:

PREDICTION FOR TODAY:

DATA FACTS:

  • 451 & above Applicants on May 10 – Total 1,985 (317+1,668)
  • 225-230 Applicants (451+) addition on daily basis
  • Expected new additions of 451+ Applicants from May 10 to May 22 = 225*10 = 2,250
  • 451 & above Applicants on May 22 (Projected) – Total 4,235 (1,985+2,250)
PREDICTION:
3350: Cut off will be 457 +/- 1
3500: Cut off will be 455 +/- 1
3900: Cut off will be 453 +/- 1
 
Maintenance notice was useful just two weeks back, now it's useless. Goal post shifting
 
Brother, this was my old post and I reanalyzed the numbers and shared the updated predictions later. See updated post:

PREDICTION FOR TODAY:

DATA FACTS:

  • 451 & above Applicants on May 10 – Total 1,985 (317+1,668)
  • 225-230 Applicants (451+) addition on daily basis
  • Expected new additions of 451+ Applicants from May 10 to May 22 = 225*10 = 2,250
  • 451 & above Applicants on May 22 (Projected) – Total 4,235 (1,985+2,250)
PREDICTION:
3350: Cut off will be 457 +/- 1
3500: Cut off will be 455 +/- 1
3900: Cut off will be 453 +/- 1
Dam ! When will it reach below 450?? You look well versed with their scoring/cut-off patterns. Do you feel the cutoff would go below 450 anytime soon? I am also stuck at 450.
 
so last draw on 15 th happened May 15, 2019 at 11:23:38 UTC that means any time from now there could be a draw ??

but it was like 7 30 or 8 pm last time if i am not wrong
They did the round at that time, but it took a while before it showed on the website at 3PM UTC
 
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any update will there be a draw today ? any indication any hopes?
Cic has never taken 4 weeks for normal draw ever in the history
 
I guess it depends on the flow of the essay. I could not have written any less because it would compromise the points I made. My second essay was entirely based on my personal thoughts and experience. The topic I had was..

Some people like to socialize with people of all ages, whereas others like to communicate with people of a similar age bracket. What are your thoughts and what do you prefer?

That wasn't the exact question word by word but the basic meaning of it.
Alright. Thanks! :)
 
Dam ! When will it reach below 450?? You look well versed with their scoring/cut-off patterns. Do you feel the cutoff would go below 450 anytime soon? I am also stuck at 450.
It will be more cleared after next two rounds of draw. Once ITA's are increased, 450 score will be touched soon.
 
Around noon UTC seems to be the most common time:

2019-05-22%20111712.png


(These are draw times for all draws since Nov 8 2017)

With these skills and amazing writing scores, I am surprised you didn't pursue a Masters degree. My gut says you could have even secured some scholarships.