If they don't have a draw this Wednesday, we are anyway screwed.
On the contrary, if they do so, 451+ application inflow has to jump from 222 per day to 245 per day for the CRS cut-off to jump to 452. This is unlikely, but possible.
Let's see!
Ray of Hope - 115th Draw
- Thread starter NikSharma01
- Start date
If they don't have a draw this Wednesday, we are anyway screwed.
On the contrary, if they do so, 451+ application inflow has to jump from 222 per day to 245 per day for the CRS cut-off to jump to 452. This is unlikely, but possible.
Let's see!
Incomplete analysis! Cut offs were higher in the initial part of earlier years because of lower intake per draw in comparison to later part of the year.
This year, they seem to be in no mood to increase the intake. They don't need to anyways.
449 is a great score. You will make it within the next 2 draws
I hope you are right, theres been a ton of surprising things this year though so I am not as certain. I am hoping for the cuttoff to drop to 448 in the next 3 draws though, hopefully I am right.
I feel like the last draw broke you
Stay hopeful. The cut-off barring anything too crazy should continue to drop for a bit before it stabilizes. Where it stabilizes is anyones guess though
I feel like the last draw broke you
This would again depend on inflow of applications. If we extrapolate the last known pace of applications and hope speed doesn't increase further, it would stabilize at 447-448 or may touch at most 446.
If speed decreases a little further, it could stabilize at 444-445 too.
But I think current government may wish to not leave much for the new government (in Q4) and may do couple of one-week draws in the next 6 months.
Besides, there is Ontario who will invite some of us.
Agree, 446-447 is what I was thinking too. The inflow of applications is unlikely to decrease though, interest is only increasing over time as Australia makes it harder to get PR.
The impact of elections however is an unknown variable though that could work in our favor....possibly. But yeah early 440s is looking tough right now without one week draws. I am hoping I squeeze by in the next 2 months but that depends on the inflow as you said.
The inflow can certainly decrease. Lot of counter-intutive things happen in life, more so in this case, it is possible that those who were interested already applied thereby not leaving many future applications.
It's just like sometimes people purchase cheaper flights tickets near the flight date in comparison to two weeks prior
I can definitely see it drop to 445/446 in the coming months. Anything less than that is tough to see
Two months back my crs score increased from 399-> 409 . Recently I again appeared for IELTS and by Gods grace I got the magic score 8777. My Current CRS score is 466. Please add me in this list. I have been trying this process for quite sometime. I am hoping for an invite in the coming draw.
It's too early to know their mood about increasing of ita number. Second half of the year should be interesting.
Anyway, hope for the best!
Kind of a weird question:
If I make a EE profile today with my spouse as primary and then after a month can I update the same profile and make myself as a primary?
If I make a EE profile today with my spouse as primary and then after a month can I update the same profile and make myself as a primary?
Many Congratulations. You'll surely get your ITA on Wednesday my friend
I'll definitely add you before I share the updated list in sometime.
(Updated till 10:00 AM IST today) CRS summary of active members waiting for Golden ITA:
- 460+ (Total 3) - kan7sh: 472 | Wizzz: 472 | aurelero:473
- 455-460 (Total 1) - Rangrez: 455
- 450-454 (Total 18) - 13nitinsharma: 450 | | SeniorStakes: 451 | Sanghapreet: 451 | Yiss: 450 | T80: 451 | kalex123: 450 | nehadeep: 450 | matteis:450 | Ruth31:451 | siataheri:450 | biquanbi96: 451 | jkaur95: 450 | shamu2013: 450 | hakweye: 450 | Karran Oberoi: 451 | pujo: 451 | hunt4dj: 452 | AlejandroMP: 451
- 445-449 (Total 30) - Shaanoh: 449 | Ali1122: 447 | Sara890: 447 | nolimits7405: 445 | Boluwaduro: 445 | skg1988: 445 | D'trox: 447 | Div_newbie:449 | vmsanthosh.chn:446 | Kk1234:446 | aloobharta01:448 | prince_lords:445 | Uchyann: 445 | veritas1994: 449 | frightenedpanda: 445 | patel_d07: 448 | Noopur_23: 447 | dawak: 445 | dappy9: 449 | itsram: 448 | Ravi_15: 447 | EnthuChap: 448 | shine04: 448 | Manru:449 | msgill88:445 | SASH8288: 446 | asad_ali_awan: 445 | v_nitesh_k: 449 | Sreedev83: 446 | Tivativalu: 448
- 441-444 (Total 21) - NikSharma01:444 | ghvijay: 443 | Shishir Chandra Kumar: 441 | SociallyAwkward: 441 | BumbleFrisbee: 441 | JamesRodriguez: 440 | LKRYA: 443 | NishaKirthi: 444 | Ram89: 441 | cdddelhi: 444 | Life79: 441 | Agarwalparesh26: 442 | Ainpeespirant: 443 | Kiamin: 442 | Sonammahajan: 444 | mominmalik5: 444 | Queenslander88: 442 | MzBAH: 443 | gmi3001:443 | intels: 441 | pursuit: 443 | ravinder_singh:443
- 435-440 (Total 12) - Siddharth-BOM: 438 | ppa: 438 | cadiee:438 | krishnapahlajani93:438 | Sara1981:438 | kadeed:436 | rdj08: 438 | Kiamin: 437 | sheikh.abaz: 435 | Nidsy: 438 | Sam0301: 437 | bluehorse:440
- Below 435 (Total 3) - moto90: 424 | Day2203: 431 | Sdabas: 421