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Ray of hope 108th

abhishek_89 said:
If there is no draw today and it happens on Jan 9th, again we can see the cut off in the 440s throughout Jan and Feb unless there is a 1 week gap draw.
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I think a draw is unlikely today. However, the more important thing would be to see the number of ITAs issued in 2019 per draw as that will have an impact on lowering the CRS score. So, fingers and toes crossed!
 
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ibtee said:
I think a draw is unlikely today. However, the more important thing would be to see the number of ITAs issued in 2019 per draw as that will have an impact on lowering the CRS score. So, fingers and toes crossed!
Click to expand...

Looking at the number of ITAs issued in the previous 2 years (2017-86,023 ITAs and 2018-89,800 ITAs) and taking into account the higher PR targets for 2019, the count of ITAs issued in 2019 would increase to around 97,000 - 98,000.

Assuming we have around 25 or 26 non program specific draws in 2019, we should be seeing 3900 ITAs continue to be the target if they are planning to constantly maintain the same ITA count per draw.

I don't expect to see any major upside or downside shift in the ITAs being issued in each draw. Maybe, a few hundred ITAs might increase or decrease from the current 3900 ITA target which would be inconsequential in lowering the CRS below a certain range considering the huge number of applicants stacked in the higher 430s.

The only way we can see drastic decrease to the cut off is if they decide to go the route taken in 2017 where majority of the target is met in the 1st 5 months of the year which would mean drastically higher number of ITAs issued in the initial months or many 1 week gap draws.
 
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  1. abhishek_89 said:
    That's not Toronto time, it's UTC. Also, the draw happens few hours before it is published on the site.
    Click to expand...
#103 – October 29, 2018
No program specified

See full text of Ministerial Instruction

Number of invitations issued: 3,900Footnote *

Rank required to be invited to apply: 3,900th or above

Date and time of round: October 29, 2018 at 16:36:30 UTC

CRS score of lowest-ranked candidate invited:442

Tie-breaking rule: October 16, 2018 at 06:09:04 UTC

  • If more than one candidate has the lowest score, the cut-off is based on the date and time they submitted their Express Entry profiles.
This was the draw I am referring to. UTC - Toronto
 
Sumari Hendricks said:
#103 – October 29, 2018
No program specified

See full text of Ministerial Instruction

Number of invitations issued: 3,900Footnote *

Rank required to be invited to apply: 3,900th or above

Date and time of round: October 29, 2018 at 16:36:30 UTC

CRS score of lowest-ranked candidate invited:442

Tie-breaking rule: October 16, 2018 at 06:09:04 UTC

  • If more than one candidate has the lowest score, the cut-off is based on the date and time they submitted their Express Entry profiles.
This was the draw I am referring to. UTC - Toronto
Click to expand...
I just checked UTC Time. It is 7.13PM in UTC and in 2:13 PM Toronto Time. If a draw happens at 5PM toronto time. It will be at 10PM (22h) in UTC. It seems to me that there isn’t going to have a draw today :)
 
My profile shows submitted status and crs is 462. Please suggest ehat are the chances of receiving ita in yhr next draw and do tgey send emails or we need to check in our profile.
 
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thaitran26291 said:
The first draw in 2018 was 446 and 2750 ITAs. If cic wanna remain same 3900 itas, i guess it should stay at 443-445.
Click to expand...

what is your prediction for next few draws. i think since many people are applying and this will make the score to move on higher side.
but still 440 will appear many times in this year.
 
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