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Applicants from Sri Lanka Connect here

Heshan

Hero Member
Aug 8, 2018
347
180
Guys, is there a whatsapp group where all Sri Lankan people are connected, just let me know. I am also willing to join...
 

ruka

Hero Member
Apr 7, 2008
673
31
Visa Office......
Colombo, Sri Lanka
NOC Code......
0213
App. Filed.......
10/02/2010 (old)
Doc's Request.
16/04/2010 (old)
AOR Received.
11/08/2010 (old)
File Transfer...
20/04/2010 (old)
Hi friends,
Is there any one here to go to saskatchewan ?
 

Heshan

Hero Member
Aug 8, 2018
347
180
7th April: AOR

Only Medicals passed, nothing else since then
They didn't even request for additional documents right? So, you are closing the normal processing time period (6 months)..Better give a call to IRCC or email and ask for the status?
 

Heshan

Hero Member
Aug 8, 2018
347
180
7th April: AOR

Only Medicals passed, nothing else since then
Did you order any GCMS notes to get any updates about the PR application? And also, would like to know are there any dependents attached to your application? Any additional documents they requested? Does the application contains any complex scenarios which take time? I am just trying to understand the causes of delays...
 

Heshan

Hero Member
Aug 8, 2018
347
180
Anyone here in Sri Lanka ever orders GCMS notes from IRCC? I am jut thinking of ordering one at least to get some updates...
 
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Heshan

Hero Member
Aug 8, 2018
347
180
Some encouraging signs...

PPRs have been issuing for the candidates who's AOR dates in between June 1-10th. This is as per the MyImmiTracker updates.

And even July and August AORs are also getting their PPRs. (Approximately 34 people)
These are mainly from US candidates.

However, still some of the May candidates are yet to receive their PORs. Assuming these are some of the complex cases.
 

Heshan

Hero Member
Aug 8, 2018
347
180
May AOR. Still in IP1 too:(:(. Please update if there are any progress.
Could you please share your timelines? I am a July AOR receiver, and still in IP1 stage.
As per the ImmiTracker, IRCC is processing June applications. So did you ever requested for GCMS notes? Do IRCC requested for any additional documents at any time? How many dependents do you have in your application? I just want to understand how complex your scenario is...
 

Heshan

Hero Member
Aug 8, 2018
347
180
Please read below trend analysis.

Hijacked from another thread, so thought of sharing with you all...

Originally posted in June thread but this thread may also find useful.

%age statuses by month as per Immitracker. Based on my past experience on reaction to this post will start with following disclaimer points :D:D

  • Yes the immitracker data may not be accurate, as not all people enter or update their data. But I think it is okay as in no field you can have absolute population data. You will have to work with sample data and make decisions.
  • As you read this and the data and you feel "oh I could list N reasons the data is not the right sample" … well yeah I know that BUT unless someone can give better data, this is all we have. So let’s make peace with it.
  • Immitracker ignores inactive cases. And yes it does impact %ages. However, I think immitracker is correct in ignoring inactive cases.
  • Having said all of above, I think this data can still be used to see trends which are useful. The %ages may not be accurate but overall movement is definitely indicative of progress
  • And lastly, if you disagree just ignore!




Added two more months to observe trending better
and make sure the trend holds.

Based on the data, here are my observations

The Good
  1. As expected June is showing an upward trend. Lots of movement. As I have said before 4th month after AOR is most productive for PPRs. I think we can expect ~20-23% more PPRs in this month.
  2. Look at August! Huge jump and lots of PPRs . The activity on August thread is testimony to that.
  3. March still moved at a decent pace but it will taper off in coming weeks, if previous trending holds.
The Bad
  1. March is stagnant! Nothing has moved and CIC seems to be missing the 80% mark for sure.
  2. July is stagnant too. I expected some movement in July. Let’s see if it picks up in coming weeks.
The Ugly

THE SLOWDOWN MAY BE REAL!

I think if this data is any indication, CIC may have to revise that 6 month timeline sooner or later unless they really pick up. Why do I say that? Read below a bit carefully

Focus on the two shaded columns .. PPR% at end of August (29-Aug) and PPR% at end of September (28-Sep)

  • At end of August which is almost month 6 for Feb 85% people from Feb and received PPR. This is good as this is what is expected. Rather CIC seems to beat the 80% target. For march at end of August (5th month from AOR) the number is 68%.
  • So you expected March to give 12% more PPRs in one month and meet 80%. BUT March is stuck at 75%. And if I compare it to at same point vs Feb it is 10% slower than Feb.
  • If we compare March Vs April. March at the end of Month 5 was at 68% whereas April at Month 5 is only 61% .. again 7% slower. And April doesn’t seem to move!
  • Comparing April vs May. April was 48% at 4th month mark whereas May was only able to reach 45%.

We will see how this goes with two additional months added to data. BUT it is a clear indication that application processing is slow from March onward.

By end of October we will know if April can even hit 75% like March or falls short. Or if May is able to buck the trend and prove me wrong.

Over and out!