+1(514) 937-9445 or Toll-free (Canada & US) +1 (888) 947-9445

Ray of Hope - 85th Draw

desmat

Champion Member
Feb 8, 2018
1,033
147
Hey guys. if you are at 435-441 right now, I strongly encourage waiting as the trend is way more stable and predictable now. The changes are subtle. While it means that chances of falling to 415 are almost nil now, it means it will gradually lower to around 435 ish and start rising again. Unless it is time sensitive, waiting will definitely worth the money, As a guy with a brilliance in statistics, I can definitely assure that 440ish will be breached within a month.
aren't you considering thousands of new profiles entering every month especially this year?
 

Contactnisha

Hero Member
Jul 15, 2017
266
395
can you share NOC please ....also I see your IELTS is CLB 10 did you achieve it in 1st attempt ? I stand on CLB 9 with CRS 413 and have registered for test in March....if I get CLB 10 then would be on 422....any suggestion for CLB 10 ?
Noc is 2173.
CLB 10 is pure practice only. Take as many tests as possible and concentrate keenly on your weak area.
On the day of exam be relaxed and go with a free mind, don't go through any materials on that day.
All the best for your exam
 

Sandeep198511

Hero Member
Apr 21, 2017
586
642
Hoping that it will come to 410 range by end of April / May :) .
At the moment , for those who are in 410+ range, there is no hope from neither Ontario PNPor EE ITA . :( ..
sorry maybe you misunderstood me...I am saying that CRS cutoff will not go be low 413 I did not say anything about OINP PNP...if cut off goes below 420 then surely all 400+ people will get PNP nomination so pray for lower CRS cut off...by the way it will never go to 410+ by May (but always remember that IRCC is unpredictable)...best of luck....
 

Sandeep198511

Hero Member
Apr 21, 2017
586
642
Noc is 2173.
CLB 10 is pure practice only. Take as many tests as possible and concentrate keenly on your weak area.
On the day of exam be relaxed and go with a free mind, don't go through any materials on that day.
All the best for your exam
Will go for it....but this is my second attempt and really nervous....1st I scored CLB 9 but not sure if will go to CLB 10...but will be relaxed and will avoid to go through any materials that day really thanks for the Tip though....Thank you and best of luck....
 
  • Like
Reactions: Contactnisha

Chillovski

Star Member
Nov 2, 2017
128
153
ON, Canada
Category........
PNP
Visa Office......
London
NOC Code......
0111
Well that is certainly interesting and a potentially good theory, but the numbers do not really match this for that scenario either. In my opinion, unless the h1b holders are all getting LMIA backed job offers from Canadian Subsidiaries of US companies ( and the LMIA would need a little bit of processing time, so I wouldn't expect a sudden and immediate impact/increase like we are seeing lately ).

A h1b holder would not realistically have much higher points than the examples I produced as CIC cuts you off after three years work experience for ....reasons and heavily discriminates based upon age.

H1b holder will be somewhere either just below, or in the general region of the CRS points example cases I gave. That is a best case scenario.

Which leaves, in my opinion the order of likelihood for high scoring applicants entering the pool.

  1. Tons of international Students currently in Canada. ( numbers I am finding are around 353,000 for 2015 ) if this were a large part of the increase I would expect the increase to be noticeable at the end of semesters and also that the pool would be much higher already. For this to ring true the pool size should be in the 100,000s and most scores would be above 450.
  2. People currently working in Canada. Under Canadian experience class ( would probably match previous years work permits roughly 286,000 ) There are also around 30,000 IEC holders in any given year that "could" be added to this pool under Canadian Experience Class. I would expect the pool size to be much larger and with higher scores in this scenario too.
  3. Provincial nominee applicants. ( this is the interesting outlier to me given the rather strange way Ontario is managing it's stream this year, compared to years past ).
  4. Hundreds of experienced, highly educated applicants, below the age of 32 with $20,000 sitting in the bank, with extremely good English/French skills, ready to quit their job and move overseas and pay out a minimum of $400 for ECAs and Language assessment.
  5. Relatives of PR holders, (who also meet the conditions of 4).

Anyway, long story short, I have a theory, a hunch, that we will see a lowering of CRS scores somewhere around April/May of this year, as per previous years, I can't predict a number with any kind of science, but, I reckon, lower than the 413 seen last year. I hope I am right, as hope is what these threads are all about. My reason for this decrease, is that the provincial nominees will have mostly filtered through, the students will have filtered through and the nightmare process of employers getting LMIAs in the first place makes 2 ( above ) not very likely.

:) Or I could just be completely wrong
Interesting analysis, I agree with most of your points. However, you've missed three large demographic groups that are applying for Canadian immigration in droves, (like their lives depended on it).

- Persian Gulf based professionals. These people are usually in an age range of between late twenties to mid-forties, are highly educated (many with Western degrees and good, in-demand qualifications), had been paid well up until now, and thus have managed to have decent savings in the bank. These people usually come from Indian, Pakistani, Levant, Egyptian, Filipino or Sri Lankan backgrounds. Since the decades old financial party is over in the region (massive job losses due to a drop in oil prices, nationalization of jobs) and there's the recent unprecedented political uncertainty to deal with, so instead of going back to their homelands (which are now alien to them, having been expats for so long) they've decided to try their luck either in Canada or Australia (or both). I know many many people who belong in this group and have either already migrated to either Canada or Australia, or are currently in a mad rush to do so.

- Mainland China and Hong Kong based professionals. There's a large group of younger Chinese professionals that is well off, well educated, and seek what they think are greener pastures in Canada and Australia.

- Asian subcontinent based professionals. The brain drain from India, Pakistan, Bangladesh and Sri Lanka to everywhere not only continues, but has accelerated significantly. Economic inequality and lack of opportunities for people that are highly educated and capable is the primary cause for this.

So there you have it... the honorable Mr. Trump is partly responsible for the mad rush to Canada, but it's really not the only reason... it's a combination of many many things that are making Canada appear like it's an island of prosperity and stability in a rapidly evolving world.

I hope for a massive drop in the CRS cutoff as well, but don't be surprised if in 2018 it doesn't drop by a whole lot from the current 440's.
 

sunboy129

Star Member
Aug 7, 2017
98
53
Hello seniors,
I have a question and will appreciate your help. I am thinking about getting ECA for my wife who has 3 year BBA from South Asian country. I have seen 1 post where another person from my country who went to same university and hasve same degree as my wife have claimed to gotten a Canadian equivalent of bachelors. My dilemma is (i) my wife started 3 year BBA in 2005 and finished it in 2015 [back papers] and (ii) She got around 42% marks overall (passing score is 35%). Given, these two situations I am wondering if she can still get a Canadian bachelor equivalency on ECA?
Anyone plese???
 

tmahajan

Star Member
Sep 6, 2017
83
27
Hi All ,
I have a question regarding ECA .

My Bachelor's has already been evaluated WES . I need to get my PGDM (IMT CDL) evaluated from IQAS since WES doesn't recognize IMTCDL .

Can I send my PGDM transcripts only to IQAS or do I need to send by bachelor transcripts again ?

Has anyone here only got their Masters/PGDM evaluated from IQAS without sending the Bachelor degree transcripts?

Thanks .