Ray of Hope - 69th Draw

[cnrp]

I am not misleading anyone,
it is just simple math

let me explain a bit further


* on 27th Jul there was 2244 application for 431-440 on same date the number of applications above 440 was 2103

* on 2nd Aug there was around 2435 application for 431-440 , this number based on around 32 new applications every day on that range of 431-440 (this number was calculated based on the history of older draws) and for the range above 440 there was ZERO applications as all was cleared after the 2nd Aug draw

* The daily increase for the range of 431 and above is 172 ( also calculated based on the history of older draws)

* so after 7 days we will have [No of applications for 431-440 on 2nd Aug] + [No of applications for above 440 on 2nd Aug] + ([7 days] * [Daily Increase])

means
2435 + 0 + ( 7 * 172 ) = 2435 + 0 + 1204 = 3639 applications above 430

* by finding the number of increases in each category from the older draws we find that 3200 ITAs would reach CRS 432

* It is all estimates, there could be no draw tomorrow ( most likely)

to make it easier for you check this website
it will just give you the expected CRS
http://pollsdb.com/canada.aspx

Come on! There were 1161 new applications above 441 between July 27-August 2, not 32 new applications per day.
I'm advising you to just skim through my previous posts and get a glimpse of the regression analysis with the public data executed with STATA not with an .html website. /

 

[Grudy]

If you noticed where I first wrote this, you would see it was right after someone stated something and someone else asked how they knew this. While I realized it was an opinion, clearly not all people do. It happens a lot here. Perhaps because of all the different native languages.

You are also coming off as quite rude saying people need to be "mature enough" to understand. I think I'd better go to sleep before really start ranting.

Nah I wasn't directing that at anyone on this forum, I didn't even know the context of what you were talking about. Sorry if it came off as rude but that wasn't my intent. I was just talking about the common patterns I see on internet forums in general, not about this forum or the topic. Like people on this forum tend to be adults who are working really hard on improving their lives, so the general tone is majorly positive and helpful. Other forums, however, especially ones without any moderation or registration requirements can be quite bad and childish, especially around entertainment-related topics.

Anyway, I only wanted to say how I think conversation can flow more easily, not slight anyone here.

 

[asmgx]

Come on! There were 1161 new applications above 441 between July 27-August 2, not 32 new applications per day.
I'm advising you to just skim through my previous posts and get a glimpse of the regression analysis with the public data executed with STATA not with an .html website. /

again you are confused

there was 1161 above 440 based on CIC website
http://www.cic.gc.ca/english/express-entry/rounds.asp

the 32 new applicantions daily are for the 431-440 category only
There is 172 new applications daily for 431 and above.

please re-read my post and read the number carefully

 

[Globetrotter2017]

Being hopeful for a draw today doesn't cost you anything. Let's throw aside the negativity and be hopeful!

May it rain ITAs!

 

[iluvtomorrowland]

Come on! There were 1161 new applications above 441 between July 27-August 2, not 32 new applications per day.
I'm advising you to just skim through my previous posts and get a glimpse of the regression analysis with the public data executed with STATA not with an .html website. /

I believe he intends to mention 32 applications between 431-440 and not above 441.

 

[Sahussain]

again you are confused

there was 1161 above 440 based on CIC website
http://www.cic.gc.ca/english/express-entry/rounds.asp

the 32 new applicantions daily are for the 431-440 category only
There is 172 new applications daily for 431 and above.

please re-read my post and read the number carefully

Your analysis makes sense to me coz there was no one above 441 in the pool on 02 August. as 3200 people were shaved off from there.
hence if it happens to day 432 - 433.
if it happens next week it will be around 438

 

[cnrp]

again you are confused

there was 1161 above 440 based on CIC website
http://www.cic.gc.ca/english/express-entry/rounds.asp

the 32 new applicantions daily are for the 431-440 category only
There is 172 new applications daily for 431 and above.

please re-read my post and read the number carefully

Thanks for the link it really helped!

 

[Nabs17]

Dear Seniors, urgent advice needed

I have created EE profile. But I am confused about 1 thing. In the Education section I entered the detail of my BBA and MBA since, ECA is only for my BBA and MBA. My query is "do I have to enter the detail of my Secondary School Certificate and Higher Secondary Certificate credentials?" Please help.......

I would recomend you to add school details as well. Thats what i did. CIC did not ask me for ECA details of high school.
Further, i am told that the post ITA documentation requires you to fill out your entire timeline in detail, so you will have to add it at that time anyway.
Hope thats helpful.

 

[pessacanada]

Always I do refresh my PC, coz you never know what CIC could do to surprise us; so be ready when the big things happen in this life
May draw happen today with more ITAs, 3500 with CRS 430 (+-2), I always hope for the best!

 

[ankush91]

I would recomend you to add school details as well. Thats what i did. CIC did not ask me for ECA details of high school.
Further, i am told that the post ITA documentation requires you to fill out your entire timeline in detail, so you will have to add it at that time anyway.
Hope thats helpful.

Correct me if I am wrong, but details are required from the date you turned 18 years of age. I believe you would have done your schooling by the time you turned 18.
Further, what I've gathered from forums, no proof is required for details in the personal history section. Senior members please clarify

 

[ishq74]

Come on! There were 1161 new applications above 441 between July 27-August 2, not 32 new applications per day.
I'm advising you to just skim through my previous posts and get a glimpse of the regression analysis with the public data executed with STATA not with an .html website. /

Both of you not taking consideration of people leaving the pool everyday. Many profile expires, withdrawn and become ineligible (e.g. the candidate’s language test expires). You cannot just calculate numbers based on new entrants only, you must calculate on average how many people leaving the pool as well.

 

[pessacanada]

Dear @andieangel, you did the best thing to ignore those who are "masters" in their opinion and spread the negativity in this ROH, good for you your Excellency Secretary General.

PS: this is for my dear Andie (Andrea) and to my fiends who try to be positive all the time.

 

[andieangel]

Dear @andieangel, you did the best thing to ignore those who are "masters" in their opinion and spread the negativity in this ROH, good for you your Excellency Secretary General.

PS: this is for my dear Andie (Andrea) and to my fiends who try to be positive all the time.

Hello my dear friend, our Light Knight, thank you for your positivity and kind words!

How's your baby boy and your wife?

 

[AlliBatista]

Bonjour les amis.

Not many expectations for today, but maybe CIC surprises us on the GOOD side for a change?

 

[hahaHHH]

Draw draw draw !!!!!!