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Doing some math...

CRS Score Range Number of Candidates
601-1200
355
451-600 2,216
441-450 809
431-440 1,082
421-430 1,172
411-420 1,968

if this is the allocation as for june 22. Then minus 3,408 candidates it should look like this...

601-1200 0
449-600 0
441-449 between 1-800
431-440 1,082
421-430 1,172
411-420 1,968


Thus if we get a draw today of 3,500 the cut-off score should be below 421


What about the new applicants having CRS of more than 421?
 
Hi

How can crs be 449 when 355+2216+809=3380 and 34k candidates are invited. So the crs should be less than 441.. someone please explain.
 
Am posting this again here- sorry am sooo inpatient.
Has anyone with 449 - the exact cut off got ITA??? Am so nervous I can't breathe and can't check my emails. Lord God! What have I gotten myself into! Please let me know if you have. Thanking you in advance.
 
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My Prediction for next Wednesday is 437 +/- 2 as there are much lower new entrants than expected. By the end of July scores will get back to 420's.

I expect at least 3 Draws in July.
There are only 1000 above 440. It should decrease more?
 
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Hi

How can crs be 449 when 355+2216+809=3380 and 34k candidates are invited. So the crs should be less than 441.. someone please explain.

That data is stale :) Its showing as of June 22. Many Candidates have entered the pool after that
 
Am posting this again here- sorry am sooo inpatient.
Has anyone with 449 - the exact cut off got ITA??? Am so nervous I can't breathe and can't check my emails. Lord God! What have I gotten myself into! Please let me know if you have. Thanking you in advance.
It is an optical illusion. Check the date of the score distribution table - it is 22nd June.
And, the date of the draw is today - 28th June.
Rest, I leave it to you as home assignment. Figure it out, you are skilled!!
 
Hi

How can crs be 449 when 355+2216+809=3380 and 34k candidates are invited. So the crs should be less than 441.. someone please explain.
The data is for 22nd of June, the cut off may not be same as that date, few more guys may have got to that number making out for the deficit.
 
last time everyone had a gut feel about the cut off coinciding with no of pages on ROH 66...and it has come there... Xibalban had even predicted ....
now should we keep a bit of restraint in adding up pages :eek:....
:(:(
 
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