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Did you take into account that, out of approximately 7K candidates between 400-450, most of them have already been flushed out in the last draw until 423? this leaves approximately 5.7K candidates between 400-450. Keeping the factor of 1K newcomers in this segment, that leaves around 7K candidates in this segment. With a draw of 3.6K let's say, the score should drop to 413 right away.

Same thing happened with the 415 draw.. everyone above 415 was flushed too!!

The rate of ppl applying with +415 seems to be really high.
 
Did you take into account that, out of approximately 7K candidates between 400-450, most of them have already been flushed out in the last draw until 423? this leaves approximately 5.7K candidates between 400-450. Keeping the factor of 1K newcomers in this segment, that leaves around 7K candidates in this segment. With a draw of 3.6K let's say, the score should drop to 413 right away.

This is purely based on the trends in data observed in the last few months..

April 19 draw cut off was 415 and May 4 draw cut off was 423..Didn't everyone above 415 get flushed out on April 19?
 
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Same thing happened with the 415 draw.. everyone above 415 was flushed too!!

The rate of ppl applying with +415 seems to be really high.

The rise in cutoff was because of 1K candidates between 450-600. Those were definitely the Canadian graduates. This won't be the case anymore in this draw. If you take that 1K out and adjust it in the lower segments, the score would have been 410 or even lower.
 
The rise in cutoff was because of 1K candidates between 450-600. Those were definitely the Canadian graduates. This won't be the case anymore in this draw. If you take that 1K out and adjust it in the lower segments, the score would have been 410.

Am a canadian graduate my friend.. There was no time to submit my profile in April or early May because we finish exams in late April..

I'm afraid that more graduates would show up in this draw than the last one...
 
Best of Luck guys :) Hope everyone will succeed.

And if you pass the cut off then please wait for the ITA as it takes upto 24 hours to come in your My CIC account.
 
Best of Luck guys :) Hope everyone will succeed.

And if you pass the cut off then please wait for the ITA as it takes upto 24 hours to come in your My CIC account.

Ha ha ha. No one will listen to your advice ;) As soon as the draw is declared all those meeting the cutoff will go crazy and ask the same question about not seeing the update on their accounts ;)
 
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Ha ha ha. No one will listen to your advice ;) As soon as the draw is declared all those meeting the cutoff will go crazy and ask the same question about not seeing the update on their accounts ;)

Very true :) I have seen this so many times :D
 
- Wouldn't it be heartbreaking if the CRS goes up leaving behind those who waited for years in the pool! :(....
- Do u know how many ppl actually dont accept the ITA and wait in the pool? I know a couple of them and that means they present a significant number of wasted ITAs!
- Wouldnt it be fair if CIC prevents them from staying in the pool if they exceed a specific time limit?

Lots of questions and the messy stories of EE goes on..
Well, if you do not decline the ITA, your profile is not going back to the pool.

http://www.cic.gc.ca/english/immigrate/skilled/invitations.asp:
If you do not decline an invitation and you do not apply within 90 days, the invitation will expire. You will have to complete and submit a new Express Entry profile and be accepted to the pool again to be considered in future rounds of invitations.

To re-enter the pool, you must complete a new profile and meet the minimum criteria.