Yeah concurrency limit is kind of meh. I use it for small groups like virtual hangout at work.this?
then we shall try it.
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- Thread starter js555
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Deleted member 994371
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As per the new announcement made, the new applications will be processed within the standard 6 months time period. What will happen to the backlogs? Many of us are still waiting to receive our pr. Will the entire backlog will be cleared or do we have to wait further?
This thing is now creating more and more depression, frustration, and many major life decisions are on halt because of this.
This thing is now creating more and more depression, frustration, and many major life decisions are on halt because of this.
According to some source, backlogs went from ~111k to 48k (in persons; this might be FHS which does not include PNP, but let’s assume proportionality for the sake of discussion) from Sep 2021 (exclusive) to Mar 2022 (inclusive). That is slightly above 10k persons per month.
Draws in July will not see meaningful numbers of AORs till August, and R10s till September. So April-August(inclusive) leaves 5 months for the remaining 48k.
If there’s no other shit like TR2PR or refugee crisis (I know it’s a bold assumption given 2021), 5 months sounds reasonable to clear the backlog. PNP draws still happen in this period but the numbers are small. Let’s also remind ourselves that FHS target got reduced, which could mean smaller draws than pre-2021, and less workforce occupied by those new applications.
Another gut feeling of mine is that Fraser hasn’t yet done things that are downright stupid (unlike some MM we all know). Let’s hope the processing standard for new apps will not be at the cost of backlogged apps.
Personal plan for reference
I’m May 2021 AOR and planning to apply for GCMS next month and get it in June. If it’s not all stages passed AND I don’t get any ADR/remed, chances are slim to get PPR by August. Then I’d take it as a bad sign and hop onto other options like UK work visa.
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Thanks so much for a detailed revert. Resuming ITA is a good move. But yes, it should not be at the cost of backlogs. This line which stated "further reduction" doesn't give a concrete answer as to how much. Honestly since then I am getting panic attacks. This is too much now
Totally. Tbh if I weren’t panicking too I would not be researching other programs. I’m actually ready to pay that UK application fee as soon as GCMS comes back non-satisfactory. The program opens in June lol, perfect timing.
I had to change my GCkey so I can't acces my EE profil anymore. There is a way you can link your profile to your new key by providing informations about your profil. (type of application, name, passeport number, and language test) it always says they found no match between the informations i give and an existing file but I took screenshots of every pages of my profil and I am pretty sure I am doing it correctly. I think there is a problem with the "language test number of the first language test“ (which one is the first by the way no idea)
Thank you!
I asked this as I have tried to merge 5-year pay slips and (after file size optimization tools), it's 4MB already. Given that IRCC only opens one slot for me to upload pay slip, contract, proof of funds and account statement, I was thinking of the "tax returns in lieu" option.
So I got my GCMS notes today which I ordered a month ago, they were generated after I got PPR. The following note might be of interest to people, which essentially confirms that sending them an email with upfront docs and requesting to expedite the application can work. Essentially an officer was notified, as the note says, and the officer cleared my eligibility conclusively, asked for ADR, verified them and approved my application all in the span of a couple of weeks. So upfront docs + request to expedite really got things moving.
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Deleted member 1083629
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That analysis might be correct but it’s extremely skewed towards CEC applicants. FSW backlog was reduced from 55k to 41k (in March). Correct me on the numbers if I am wrong. Which means that with that processing speed they won’t clear the backlog by August/September.
We will see the new numbers in couple of weeks but regardless there is a cap for FSW for this year and those ones who won’t get their ppr by august, will most likely land the next year. Or get a rejected 2 years later.
EDIT: I stand corrected.https://www.immigration.ca/canada-immigration-application-backlog-dropping-but-very-very-slowly this link shows data from the end of December until the end of February. It does show the drop of 10K but it’s 5k per month. If the speed is kept then, they can clear about 30k applicants until the end of august. Which means that 15K will be pushed to the next year.
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I doubt there are (any significant figure of) CEC apps left in the backlog by March though.
Assuming that the workforce assigned to EE overall stays as-is, they obviously won’t be working on CEC cases now (because there are barely any; if there are, it takes from the 48k number) until the new ones come in. So the skew does not matter when we look at April to August, it’s the overall apps/month that counts.
Being optimistic today, I think there’s a reason why the draws resume in July rather than, say, right now. It has to do with the estimated timeframe by which they need new apps to fill the workload toward 2023 targets. They don’t need new apps if the backlog is to remain stuffed. (Again, I’d be totally wrong if we were still stuck with Mendicino)
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Deleted member 1083629
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Right. However, your initial analysis where you said that they clear 10k of apps per month should include CEC applicants.
I have said it before, I am really looking forward to the latest numbers from backlog. Irrespective, target numbers for 2022 will push some people to 2023. That’s just reality.