square111 said:
This doesn't look so bright.
Key is whether or not time in Canada now is bringing you into compliance.
If you leave Canada while not in compliance with the PR Residency Obligation, how it goes is not certain but the risk is high that you will be subject to losing your status.
square111 said:
A compelling reason to travel to the country of origin is a sick mother. Will CIC consider this? Also, will the CHC issue a Travel Document based on this compelling reason?
Individual cases vary greatly.
CIC does, indeed, explicitly consider H&C reasons. And while the general H&C considerations applicable to other immigration related decisions are very much a part of this (such as the hardship that might result from a forced return to home country), the H&C assessment done in deciding whether to, essentially, waive a breach of the PR Residency Obligation is broad and so far the operational manual indicates that anything which weighs in favour of the PR deserving to retain PR status should be considered.
BUT your situation is not merely about a compelling reason to travel now. You indicated that you made the PR card application when you were short of meeting the PR Residency Obligation. Thus, again, a key consideration is whether in the meantime you come into compliance with the PR RO. If not, even the most compelling reason to travel now does not justify the failure to comply with the RO already.
Nonetheless, again, what happens in individual cases is very case specific. It is near impossible to forecast how it will go for sure. There is a possibility CBSA will be lenient, perhaps even generous, upon your return. Similarly, CIC may be so if you apply for a PR Travel Document from abroad.
None of us can say for sure how it will go.
That there is a high risk of losing PR status, however, is apparent (again unless in the meantime you have come into compliance with the RO).
square111 said:
Due to the travel, also applied under emergency processing, but have not heard from them yet, Application status on CIC website doesn't show anything either.
This is easier to predict. Not likely an application reflecting a breach of the PR RO will be given urgent processing. On the contrary, as previously indicated, such an application is far more likely to encounter delays beyond the ordinary routine processing timeline.
Still, sure, every case is decided on its individual facts, so there is no absolute answer.
square111 said:
A normal headed person (in my opinion) would consider this in deciding the fate of PR status, but does CIC?
CIC will consider these things. What weight they will carry, however, particularly in comparison to the several years you had in which to have settled in Canada, is where things grow dim.
square111 said:
Also, I have heard that some years back, CIC would approve renewals in case of RO being short of a few days, but now they don't. Is that true?
I alluded to this in my previous post. There have indeed been some reports suggesting this has happened. None that I have ever seen done via urgent processing.
The instructions explicitly state that to be
eligible for a new PR card, the PR must be in compliance with the PR Residency Obligation. My sense is that this is usually, perhaps almost always applied literally, and that an applicant who applies short of compliance will have the application denied . . . and if in the meantime the PR has come into compliance, the PR's recourse is to make a new application.
But there may be some exceptions to this. Very difficult to see CIC making an exception via urgent processing.
CIC does not overtly divulge its internal assessment parameters. In contrast, forum reporting by PRs with RO problems is sporadic, uneven at best, and even relative to the credible reports it must be remembered, again, that the individual case will swing one way or the other based on a wide, wide range of particular facts and circumstances.
In contrast, the trend at both CIC and CBSA appears clear: toward more scrutiny and stricter enforcement of the PR Residency Obligation.
A lot could depend on why you ended up short in the first place. That is one of the biggest elements at play in your situation. Among others is your recent history, the extent to which you are established in Canada, the extent of your current ties in Canada, and so on.
The factors are many. So no one here can say for sure what will happen in your particular situation. But the overriding aspect is
RISK, the risk that if you leave Canada now and are not in compliance with the PR Residency Obligation, you will lose PR status.