Ray of Hope - 77th Draw

[shersingh]

Predictions for upcoming wednesday???

If they are again in the range of 2800, then I am thinking it would stay over 435-436.

 

[harman_778]

yes i might, but since i have stayed in 3 different countries, getting the pcc would be a hassle. So would prefer ONIP since PCC is not needed. Any idea on when does one get NOI for ONIP., before/after ITA?

After u apply for oinp & u get the ITA , u wld still have to provide the PCC

 

[shersingh]

Guys-- Do you think CIC would follow last year's trend to max out invites in the beginning and slow down to 2800 near the end?

I am thinking, they might not and maybe try to distribute the invites evenly.I think in 2017, they probably were starting with a new target and it might have seen sensible to start with bigger invites, so they will get a sense of how many people will actually finalize. But, now they should be stable and I don't see any reason for them to send more invites in beginning of the year. However, I do pray that they start on bigger invites from Wednesday.

It will be good to know what you think?

 

[Samroze]

Thank you for your post. I am little frustrated and waiting in queue with CRS 430..Let us hope for the best!!!

Don't worry you will for sure get it
I myself am waiting at 428
Be patient ..if not by Dec for sure in Jan

 

[Samroze]

O

After u apply for oinp & u get the ITA , u wld still have to provide the PCC

Ofcourse ..
After ITA the process is the same for everyone applying PR..be it FSW or PNP

 

[Samroze]

I've read that it is likely to be around the same as it was last draw - somewhere between 435 and 440.

True
It would be awesome if it slides down but it may not go down
The wait is to know whether they increase the draw size or not
If draw size increases all the patient ones waiting since June between 425 and 433 will hear good news soon

 

[Samroze]

Guys-- Do you think CIC would follow last year's trend to max out invites in the beginning and slow down to 2800 near the end?

I am thinking, they might not and maybe try to distribute the invites evenly.I think in 2017, they probably were starting with a new target and it might have seen sensible to start with bigger invites, so they will get a sense of how many people will actually finalize. But, now they should be stable and I don't see any reason for them to send more invites in beginning of the year. However, I do pray that they start on bigger invites from Wednesday.

It will be good to know what you think?

I think bigger draws in the beginning and smaller draws later are drawn to finalise the PR processing by the agents as it will take time for the applicants to submit their profiles. If they steady the draw size then they may not be able to process in the year end and they will have to finish their quota as well. So the previous year trends should be followed to maintain the quick processing I feel.

 

[Titanium]

I had one since the 16th of June, so glad it opened again

Looks like I got left behind in the last batch of noi issued got the ita, lost the ita

 

[trumprefugee]

Thanks for the complete picture. Fingers crossed for your your luck to turn around

Thanks, all the best to you, too!

To further underscore the importance of pursuing all reasonable options sooner than later, I was pretty sure earlier this year that I would be getting a job soon, and I also was a newbie who didn't bother to do any real research on other options. I thought that getting a provincial nomination would be extremely difficult and not feasible for me, and I thought learning French would be too difficult for too few points. So I was focused only on the job hunt (including wasting my time applying for any kind of job I could possibly qualify for, rather than targeting only those that could use my unique combination of skills) and didn't enter the EE pool as soon as I should have. Since I knew that my CRS would be too low to get direct ITA without a job offer, I thought I would first find a job and move over to Canada before entering the EE pool. I didn't begin the process of entering the EE pool until early in June, when I was getting really upset about my official offer letter not arriving, and then I had to schedule IELTS exam and later learned I would need to get the ECA done before I could enter the EE pool (I had thought ECA could be done post ITA). By the time I had IELTS score and ECA, it was July 10. And I received NOI from Ontario on July 11 and missed the July 25 deadline by one day. If I had only thought to enter the EE pool a little earlier, I could have gotten OINP a few months ago and might even have gotten PR by now.

 

[tjsecondtry]

8 months taking the PNP route? That seems super fast based on what others post here.

OINP has gotten a lot more efficient, from what I've heard.

 

[trumprefugee]

Looks like I got left behind in the last batch of noi issued got the ita, lost the ita

How did you lose your ITA?? Was your application rejected? Please share your story so others can avoid the same situation.

 

[Samroze]

I see , can you plz ellaborate a little on why is direct ITA better than Pnp??

The wait time is too long in pnp (6 months minimum and beyond)
FSW processing is pretty quick (22 days to max 6 months in few cases) except security screening cases it can go beyond the normal time
You've to spend money (1500 CAD) and time in pnp whereas fsw you need not

 

[Thay]

So what do you guys think? Draw on 8th or 15th of November?

 

[jagan4u]

A bunch of us are learning French, and we have a whatsapp group if you want to join:
https://chat.whatsapp.com/1HQROITB0p51B3kNAsVzAi

I am also in the same situation of being maxed out on IELTS, work experience, and almost maxed out on non-Canadian education (only a PhD, which is really not feasible if you don't already have one, would get me more points). I am currently pursuing 3 options: 1) OINP, 2) learning French, and 3) getting a job. I finally had the opportunity to submit my OINP application on Friday and am praying that all will go well, but you never know with this immigration process. I do want eventually to become professionally proficient in French since it is one of Canada's official languages, and many Canadian employers actually value bilingual English and French proficiency. The Canadian government offers free French classes to permanent residents and citizens, so there is no rush to learn French before landing if you have plenty of CRS points, but if you need points, it doesn't hurt also to get a head start. I had originally planned to go the job offer route and almost had a job offer back around May, but I was kept waiting for about 4 months for the official offer that eventually fell through, so I had plenty of time to get very upset and pursue the other 2 options.

For me, only option 2 was viable, so started to learn French from Sep '17, will finish A1 by Dec '17 first week...hope to get an ITA before Dec 22 when I start to lose 5 points from current 430...otherwise, have to wait even longer...so, it was better to start learning French as you would need to be at least in the B1 level, which would take 9 months of studying to attempt TEF to gain some points... dont' have my mobile with me today, will join the group tomorrow Merci beaucoup pour ton l'invitation !!

 

[Samroze]

yes i might, but since i have stayed in 3 different countries, getting the pcc would be a hassle. So would prefer ONIP since PCC is not needed. Any idea on when does one get NOI for ONIP., before/after ITA?

You anyways need pcc whether pnp or not
The rules as per cic are same for all