35th Draw Forecast - Any Guesses?

[DamhaSirah]

So the 34th draw saw 484 CRS score ... Any guess what is next score likely to be :-X :-\?

 

[JoacRy]

I think the score may be somewhere between 490-510. Also around 750 people may get an ITA. This is my forecast based on the draw today and a fortnight ago.

 

[jairichi]

452 points.

 

[Lucky213]

@Joacry


Brother Just tell me one thing when all the ITA has been out till 484, then how score will increase to 490

Get a life Bud

 

[JoacRy]

@Joacry


Brother Just tell me one thing when all the ITA has been out till 484, then how score will increase to 490

Get a life Bud

In case you have not noticed this is the pattern over the last 3 draws

Draw 32 - CRS: 468 No Invitations Issued: 1,018
Draw 33 - CRS: 534 No Invitations Issued: 799
Draw 34 - CRS: 484 No Invitations Issued: 763

Do you notice a pattern? Or do you just observe the draws with blind ignorance? The CRS Score is a function of the number of people that IRCC wish to issue invitations to. As this is a forecast, sorry to state the obvious but they are trying to reduce their workload by inviting +/-800 applicants with each draw.

As the CRS is a function of the number of people they want to invite it is not unreasonable to suggest a CRS score in the next draw of being somewhere between 490 and 510.

You really should educate yourself about how the process works before typing such nonsense.

By the way I do hope I am wrong and the score comes down so that more people get an ITA.

 

[Lucky213]

In case you have not noticed this is the pattern over the last 3 draws

Draw 32 - CRS: 468 No Invitations Issued: 1,018
Draw 33 - CRS: 534 No Invitations Issued: 799
Draw 34 - CRS: 484 No Invitations Issued: 763

Do you notice a pattern? Or do you just observe the draws with blind ignorance? The CRS Score is a function of the number of people that IRCC wish to issue invitations to. As this is a forecast, sorry to state the obvious but they are trying to reduce their workload by inviting +/-800 applicants with each draw.

As the CRS is a function of the number of people they want to invite it is not unreasonable to suggest a CRS score in the next draw of being somewhere between 490 and 510.

You really should educate yourself about how the process works before typing such nonsense.

By the way I do hope I am wrong and the score comes down so that more people get an ITA.

@joacry

Don't take it as argument but yeah its a good thing to discuss

score increased as they reduce the number of invitations......in your first comment you quoted that number of invitations will be 750 ........so if the invitations will be around 700 to 800 then definitely score will get down


but if they get down with number of invitations more then the score will get up

finger crossed

 

[Andre_Smol]

@joacry

Don't take it as argument but yeah its a good thing to discuss

score increased as they reduce the number of invitations......in your first comment you quoted that number of invitations will be 750 ........so if the invitations will be around 700 to 800 then definitely score will get down


but if they get down with number of invitations more then the score will get up

finger crossed

If the number of invitation stays around 750-800, then there is no reason to assume that the current minimum score would drop in future draws. We would still expect to see the same 480-530 range until they start to increase the number of invitations again.

Based on the current trend, I think it is a good guess to assume that they might continue inviting 750-800 people for a few more draws, possibly much of the summer to clear a certain amount of backlog.

Until then, I would expect the points range to stay the same as well.

 

[ldrbjp]

478 with 800 ITAs

 

[Hope16]

crs cut-off 464 with #ITA 1000+

 

[deadbird]

What in your opinion is the likelihood of the 35th draw happening on Jun 1, Wednesday ( 2 weeks from now ) ?

 

[intensecool]

crs cut-off 464 with #ITA 1000+

I agree with your guess here, the draws are following the same pattern as the previous year draws.

MAY 22 2015 - 755. (May 6th 2016 - 534)
JUNE 12, 2015 - 482 (May 20th 2016 - 484)
JUNE 27, 2015 - 469
JULY 10, 2015 - 463

I believe its going to take similar pattern this time although it's a bit pre-dated.

I assume the next draw will be in the line of 469-483 for sure and the next draw after this will take in 450-468.

A conservative guess while i am sitting on 468, i assume i am getting ITA in next couple of draws.

 

[ramansingh05]

Can you please send me an link where I can see the latest draw result..

 

[Andre_Smol]

Can you please send me an link where I can see the latest draw result..

http://www.cic.gc.ca/english/department/mi/index.asp

 

[kateg]

452 points.

It absolutely, positively, won't be that number.

 

[Sluffy]

As the officials announced that there will be smaller draws until September, we cannot expect the score to decrease.
There were just 10 days between the draws and that's why the score dropped. If the number of invitations stays below 800 and the draws are every two weeks, the score is very unlikely to go beyond 480, just because enough people with much higher scores enter the pool within these two weeks.


CIC has really big backlogs of applications starting from 2014, and they still make courtesy when allowing people with canadian experience or after the studies to get in the process before all their permits expire.

I'm among of those who, if entered a week before May, would get in the process, but it's happened like this. But I cannot stand all these weepings in the forum asking why and making unreasonable predictions, not this thread, but others. CIC does not own you anything. People used to wait for 4-5 years before Express Entry to get their PR. You cannot really change anything except improving your score.