Dear, wait for q1-mid q2 2020, scores will touch 450 if not 438 (like this year). There’s ~15k between 450-600 range and that needs to be handled well. PNP will be crucial in upcoming years.
Ray of Hope - 131st Draw
- Thread starter NikSharma01
- Start date
Dear @leblord , @Vazi and @Rkd@321 ,
Sorry for the late reply. Been really busy with life
If there is a draw tomorrow, then the cut off score would be approximately 465-467. Please see my calculation below:
After 30th October draw with 3,900 ITA issued and the cut off 475, the score distribution would have been approximately:
601-1,200 = 0(3,900 -1,520)
451-600 =12,009(14,389-2,380)
441-450= 9,120
Note: As cut off was 475, it means that the 12,009 profiles left on 451-600 range are those who have score 451-475 only.
475 score = 28
471-474= 344people/score
465-470=189people/score
451-464= 675 (486+189)people/score
CRS score distribution of candidates in the Express Entry pool as of November 8, 2019
CRS score:
601-1,200 =757
451-600 =14,180
441-450 =9,060
It means in 9 days from Oct 30th to Nov 8th, there where:
601-1,200 = 84 profile/day (757/9days)
451-600 = 241prof/day (14,180-12,009= 2,171/9days)
441-450 = 9,060-9,120= -60. For this eange we gonna use previous number which is 15profiles per day.
So, by 13th November, the CRS distribution in the pool will be approximately:
601-1,200=1,177(757+420(84x5days))
451-600=15,385(14,180+1,205(241x5d)
441-450= 9,135(9,060+75(15x5days))
Suppose that from the newly added 3,376profile from 30th Oct to 13th Nov, all will be distributed equally to (451-481 to 600). So, it will make 3,376/31=109profile/score
After 13th Nov draw with 3,600 ITA issued and the cut off 472, the score distribution will be approximately:
601-1,200 = 0(3,600 -1,177)
451-600 =12,962(15,385-2,423)
441-450= 9,135
Note: As cut off was 472, it means that the 12,962 profiles left on 451-600 range are those who have score 451-4672 only.
472 score = 273
465-471=298(189+109)people/score
451-464= 784(675+109)people/score
So, by 20th November, the CRS distribution in the pool will be approximately:
601-1,200=588(84x7days)
451-600=14,649(12,962+1,687(241x7d)
441-450= 9,240(9,135+105(15x7days))
Suppose that from the newly added 1,687 profile from 13th Nov to 27th Nov, all will be distributed equally to (451-481 to 600). So, it will make 1,687/31=55profile/score
With 3,600 ITAs the cut off will be approximately 465-467
3,600 minus:
-588(601-1200)
-55 (of 481-600 newly added score)
-55 (of 480 newly added score)
-55 (of 479 newly added score)
-55 (of 478 newly added score)
-55 (of 477 newly added score)
-55 (of 476 newly added score)
-55 (of 475 newly added score)
-55 (of 474 newly added score)
-55 (of 473 newly added score)
-273(of 472 left after 13th Nov draw)
-55 (of 472 newly added score)
-298(of 471 left after 13th Nov draw)
-55 (of 471 newly added score)
-298(of 470 left after 13th Nov draw)
-55 (of 470 newly added score)
-298 of (469 left after 13th Nov draw)
-55 (of 469 newly added score)
-298 of (468 left after 13th Nov draw)
-55 (of 468 newly added score)
-298 of (467 left after 13th Nov draw)
-55 (of 467 newly added score)
-298 of (466 left after 13th Nov draw)
-55 (of 466 newly added score)
-71 (298 of 465 left after 13th Nov draw).
Sorry for the late reply. Been really busy with life
If there is a draw tomorrow, then the cut off score would be approximately 465-467. Please see my calculation below:
After 30th October draw with 3,900 ITA issued and the cut off 475, the score distribution would have been approximately:
601-1,200 = 0(3,900 -1,520)
451-600 =12,009(14,389-2,380)
441-450= 9,120
Note: As cut off was 475, it means that the 12,009 profiles left on 451-600 range are those who have score 451-475 only.
475 score = 28
471-474= 344people/score
465-470=189people/score
451-464= 675 (486+189)people/score
CRS score distribution of candidates in the Express Entry pool as of November 8, 2019
CRS score:
601-1,200 =757
451-600 =14,180
441-450 =9,060
It means in 9 days from Oct 30th to Nov 8th, there where:
601-1,200 = 84 profile/day (757/9days)
451-600 = 241prof/day (14,180-12,009= 2,171/9days)
441-450 = 9,060-9,120= -60. For this eange we gonna use previous number which is 15profiles per day.
So, by 13th November, the CRS distribution in the pool will be approximately:
601-1,200=1,177(757+420(84x5days))
451-600=15,385(14,180+1,205(241x5d)
441-450= 9,135(9,060+75(15x5days))
Suppose that from the newly added 3,376profile from 30th Oct to 13th Nov, all will be distributed equally to (451-481 to 600). So, it will make 3,376/31=109profile/score
After 13th Nov draw with 3,600 ITA issued and the cut off 472, the score distribution will be approximately:
601-1,200 = 0(3,600 -1,177)
451-600 =12,962(15,385-2,423)
441-450= 9,135
Note: As cut off was 472, it means that the 12,962 profiles left on 451-600 range are those who have score 451-4672 only.
472 score = 273
465-471=298(189+109)people/score
451-464= 784(675+109)people/score
So, by 20th November, the CRS distribution in the pool will be approximately:
601-1,200=588(84x7days)
451-600=14,649(12,962+1,687(241x7d)
441-450= 9,240(9,135+105(15x7days))
Suppose that from the newly added 1,687 profile from 13th Nov to 27th Nov, all will be distributed equally to (451-481 to 600). So, it will make 1,687/31=55profile/score
With 3,600 ITAs the cut off will be approximately 465-467
3,600 minus:
-588(601-1200)
-55 (of 481-600 newly added score)
-55 (of 480 newly added score)
-55 (of 479 newly added score)
-55 (of 478 newly added score)
-55 (of 477 newly added score)
-55 (of 476 newly added score)
-55 (of 475 newly added score)
-55 (of 474 newly added score)
-55 (of 473 newly added score)
-273(of 472 left after 13th Nov draw)
-55 (of 472 newly added score)
-298(of 471 left after 13th Nov draw)
-55 (of 471 newly added score)
-298(of 470 left after 13th Nov draw)
-55 (of 470 newly added score)
-298 of (469 left after 13th Nov draw)
-55 (of 469 newly added score)
-298 of (468 left after 13th Nov draw)
-55 (of 468 newly added score)
-298 of (467 left after 13th Nov draw)
-55 (of 467 newly added score)
-298 of (466 left after 13th Nov draw)
-55 (of 466 newly added score)
-71 (298 of 465 left after 13th Nov draw).
This tracker is looking pretty good. Hoping the real pool will be the same as this. No high 475+ and 1000s
Last edited:
That's great. All the best for the next draw,dearGG12345: 471 . improved from 470 to 471
Please update my score to 478. Third attempt of IELTS results fetched me this score.
One of reasons of increase in the 460 plus candidates in the pool is because of the availability of certificates such as IELTS and Masters degree at a marginal cost.
Some dudes simply do not want to write IELTS (lack of good command over English) and simply pay to get the certificates. The irony is that these ppl even pass through successfully.
My sister lives in Canada and she said there was a Punjabi guy (who got PR 3 years ago) and now when he applied to get the Citizenship, the docs he provided to obtain PR were mismatching with what he currently produced to obtain Citizenship.
After an intensive BGV on him, it was found that he produced Forged IELTS and Masters Certificate while obtaining PR. Another shocking revelation is that he said 100s in his community or locality have got through this way in recent times and have got PR/Student Visas but he is the unfortunate one. Heard that he would be deported. Now he regrets he could have better held PR status alone.
Even I have been contacted by those scammers asking me to pay a decent amount of money to get the certificates such has IELTS or PTE. Also heard that they are expanding their service to even provide TEF too
I'm not sure if this is happening quite high in Punjab or Andhra (two states of India often making headlines on all these often) but guys, fraudsters like the above guy too are competing us in the pool and Canada must further intensify its BGV to wipe these frauds.
Seriously frustrated
Some dudes simply do not want to write IELTS (lack of good command over English) and simply pay to get the certificates. The irony is that these ppl even pass through successfully.
My sister lives in Canada and she said there was a Punjabi guy (who got PR 3 years ago) and now when he applied to get the Citizenship, the docs he provided to obtain PR were mismatching with what he currently produced to obtain Citizenship.
After an intensive BGV on him, it was found that he produced Forged IELTS and Masters Certificate while obtaining PR. Another shocking revelation is that he said 100s in his community or locality have got through this way in recent times and have got PR/Student Visas but he is the unfortunate one. Heard that he would be deported. Now he regrets he could have better held PR status alone.
Even I have been contacted by those scammers asking me to pay a decent amount of money to get the certificates such has IELTS or PTE. Also heard that they are expanding their service to even provide TEF too
I'm not sure if this is happening quite high in Punjab or Andhra (two states of India often making headlines on all these often) but guys, fraudsters like the above guy too are competing us in the pool and Canada must further intensify its BGV to wipe these frauds.
Seriously frustrated
This is something which we can not stop or control, so better to put our energy on increasing our score and beat the fraud guys.
keyur sharma
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