Ray of Hope - 123rd Draw

[mahamkd]

I just got a new IELTS results and it wasn’t good , even though I know I can improve to get 462 at max I’m not getting the scores. IELTS is very expensive and I’ve spent over USD$2.000 I didn’t plan trying to improve. Stuck at 453 I wish I had the score before May when it was a great number. I’m resigned to take the exam again

It's ok, I am giving it again myself. Stay strong you got this.

 

[Ilyushin76]

I just want to say don't lose hope because I was in the same situation as you before. I went into the pool at 451 and that was the time when the cut-off jumped to 470. I was so depressed and waited for the marks to drop, which it did, but in an extremely slow pace. So I decided to retake IELTS, I studied real hard for a month because my writing was 6.5 and I needed to boost it up to 7. I received LSRW: 8.5/7/8/6.5, but I didn't give up and took another test after another two weeks of studying and got LSRW: 8.5/7/9/8

Now my CRS score is 471.
Never give up, especially to those who are stuck at 6.5 on writing!

Conditions apply - you should not have maxed at least one variable.

 

[Ilyushin76]

Very good chance.

With the doomsday gloom sprouting out since yesterday, barely seems to be the case

 

[ziah6237]

With the waiting time, this long + PNP I would say the score will slowly go back to 465 +

 

[Ashish@985]

Same... I scored my IELTS high enough in May (453) but then there was the 4 week gap and my ECA report wasn't out yet so the minimum points shot up. Now in August I finally have more points from completing 3 years of work (478) but no draw

I'm dying to get my ITA and submit my eAPR and QUIT MY JOB I HATE

Hi there,
I started working from jan2017- april 2017 (parttime) and then rest full time.
so does that mean m completing 3 years in december if yes how many points do we get to complete three years. Please reply

 

[Midnight Blessing]

Guys, a quick question, when do you guys think the cutoff ll reach 462?

Considering this 3 week gap, high pnp candidates and maybe a FST draw in September.

 

[ziah6237]

Guys, a quick question, when do you guys think the cutoff ll reach 462?

Considering this 3 week gap, high pnp candidates and maybe a FST draw in September.

I would say if next week there is no draw, it will be 462...

 

[yg96]

Hi there,
I started working from jan2017- april 2017 (parttime) and then rest full time.
so does that mean m completing 3 years in december if yes how many points do we get to complete three years. Please reply

does your part time includes min 35 hrs or more if not then u have to wait for additional 4 months as far as i know

 

[Midnight Blessing]

I would say if next week there is no draw, it will be 462...

Some people thinks it ll be 470+

 

[ziah6237]

Some people thinks it ll be 470+

Ok, I was being optimistic.
I do agree it's better not to have false hope, so I would agree 470+ is 30% possible

 

[ahsanshahbaz]

As the draw didn't take place yesterday. I will calculate the estimation of CRS score distribution in pool until next Wednesday.

So, by 14th August, the score distribution would be approximately:
601-1,200 =609 (29x21days)
451-600 =8,148(3,990+4158(198x21days))
441-450 = 8,299(7,711 + 588(28x21days))

With 3,600 ITA the cut off score will approximately 459-460
3,600 minus:
609(601-1200)
2500(of 4158 may have score 600-461)
491(of 558 from 4158 (may have 460 score)


with 3,900 ITA, the cut of score will be aporoximately 458-459.
3,900 minus:
609(601-1200)
2500(from 4158 maybe have score 600-461)
558(of 558 from 4158 may have score 460)
233(of 550 from 24th July draw with 459score)

Note: there might be more of OINP PNP candidates who will receive nomination before the next week's draw (score 1,000+). Therefore, the cut off score will be much higher as well.

Really hope your prediction is correct it will be in best interest of all the hopeful candidates in 450s. Because 465 or more will ruin it

 

[fakenews]

Some people thinks it ll be 470+

If it's a full 4-week gap, the cut off score might be very well above 475.
Reason: In may, the 4-week gap resulted in a 470 cut off score. However, this time we have over a thousand OINP nominees with 1000+ CRS in the pool.

 

[ziah6237]

If it's a full 4-week gap, the cut off score might be very well above 475.
Reason: In may, the 4-week gap resulted in a 470 cut off score. However, this time we have over a thousand OINP nominees with 1000+ CRS in the pool.

I agree. And it would be really hard to pull it down since the higher score ppl are gradually growing faster.

 

[Midnight Blessing]

As the draw didn't take place yesterday. I will calculate the estimation of CRS score distribution in pool until next Wednesday.

So, by 14th August, the score distribution would be approximately:
601-1,200 =609 (29x21days)
451-600 =8,148(3,990+4158(198x21days))
441-450 = 8,299(7,711 + 588(28x21days))

With 3,600 ITA the cut off score will approximately 459-460
3,600 minus:
609(601-1200)
2500(of 4158 may have score 600-461)
491(of 558 from 4158 (may have 460 score)


with 3,900 ITA, the cut of score will be aporoximately 458-459.
3,900 minus:
609(601-1200)
2500(from 4158 maybe have score 600-461)
558(of 558 from 4158 may have score 460)
233(of 550 from 24th July draw with 459score)

Note: there might be more of OINP PNP candidates who will receive nomination before the next week's draw (score 1,000+). Therefore, the cut off score will be much higher as well.

If 1000 people gets nominated by next draw what ll be the cutoff that we might see?

 

[Midnight Blessing]

If it's a full 4-week gap, the cut off score might be very well above 475.
Reason: In may, the 4-week gap resulted in a 470 cut off score. However, this time we have over a thousand OINP nominees with 1000+ CRS in the pool.

There won't be a 4 week gap between draws. What makes you think it can be 4 weeks? At max it ll be 3 weeks.