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November 2018 AOR - Join here

Priya0227

Champion Member
Mar 7, 2019
1,038
894
Long time watcher here. My AOR was 4 November, and I've had no change in my online account since 14 December. I was told by an operator in January that I was a recommended pass - but since then there has been absolutely nothing. Perhaps the most depressing element of it all is the sheer randomness of the process; you either get picked or your file lies untouched for months at a time. In the meantime life is on hold; hard to make even short term decisions when you have no idea when movement will take place.
4th Nov is the date that is not seeing any movement...... U are the. 9th applicant with same aor date and no update......
Same here..... 4th Nov and still waiting
 
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zabrodov

Hero Member
Sep 19, 2018
653
362
Gatineau
Category........
FSW
Visa Office......
Montreal
NOC Code......
4163
App. Filed.......
11-11-2018
AOR Received.
11-11-2018
File Transfer...
24-01-2019
Passport Req..
02-08-2019
LANDED..........
02-09-2019
congrats! After submitting schedule A, when did your ADR change to N/A?
Thank you! I think it took 2 days for "We need more documents" to change to "N/A"

Congratulations.
Thank you!

Congrats!!
Thank you!

Aww returned back and so good to read this :D

Finally!! Congrats :D:D:D
Aww returned back and so good to read this :D

Finally!! Congrats :D:D:D
Thank you! I really hope that you get it soon. It's been a long wait for all of us and I would be happy to hear that your wait is over!

Heartiest congratulations:) did u receive any ghost update before ppr ?
Thank you! I didn't get any ghost updates when application was approved because I called yesterday and I was told that my application is waiting for approval. I did get one ghost update when my Eligibility passed and when Security check passed
 

Classicdude

Hero Member
Jun 6, 2019
206
208
Over the last couple of months I have been doing intensive research about the new IRCC processing times with the help of this forum and Immitracker. I also spoke to a couple of nice IRCC agents who provided some valuable information regarding this;

This is the statistics I have accumulated and the new processing times as of 2019 are;

1) 50% of all cases are processed within 6-7 months
This is random and considered a jackpot!! There is really no pattern as to which applications can get processed within this time frame. I have noticed even cases marked RR in the 5th month receiving PPR within 7 months. So it is all pure luck!! You just have to pray you fall into this lucky category.

2) 80% of all cases are processed within 9-10 months
Eligibility Not Started/Met/Recommended Pass and also a few RR cases are processed within this time frame. So if your Eligibility falls under Met/Not Started then this is your new timeline. Not a lot of RR cases are processed under 10 months. However, there are lucky ones who do get processed. So do not worry if you have RR you could still get lucky.

3) 95% of all cases are processed within 14-16 months
Sadly, this is where the dreaded comprehensive Security Screening and Review Required folks fall into. Most RR cases should be processed within 12-14 months. I have rarely noticed a RR case go beyond 15 months. However, when it comes to SS the timeline is unpredictable as it is carried by CBSA and CSIS. Comprehensive Security Screening could last anywhere from 8-12 months. Applicants who fall under this category usually clear the other two stages(Criminality and Eligibility) by the fifth or sixth month. Even after 3 months if your security is still in progress then your definitely in Security Screening.

Now with the introduction of bio-metrics for all 2019 applicants, the security screening times have significantly reduced to 4-6 months. So if 2018 applicants have given bio-metrics then you could also be looking at faster Security Screening times.

4) Remaining 5% of cases are in black hole
If you are still waiting beyond 16 months then it means you have an extremely complex case or you just got picked up by the most laziest case officer in the history of immigration. I came across 3 cases from 2017 that are still waiting for PPR. On further investigation, I found that in one of the cases the spouse of the primary applicant was a felony and served 2 years jail time 5 years ago. The principal applicant cleared all stages but IRCC is taking their time with the spouse's admissibility review.

It is true that IRCC does process 80% of applications in 6 months on average and that was back in 2017. However, as express entry gained popularity, more applicants started flooding in huge numbers because of the relatively low CRS cut-off and as a result IRCC increased ITA's with each draws and in some cases they even conducted back-to-back draws to meet their immigrant goals. It seems they misjudged/miscalculated on handling these huge volumes of applications that were pouring in as they lacked resources. This led to the backlogs!!!

In order to tackle these backlogs, they reduced ITA's and cut-off back to back draws. Probably, why we had a 4 week gap between draws earlier this year.

CPC-Ottawa and CIO-Sydney are the two primary visa offices which process nearly 70% of PR applications. Recently, IRCC has recruited new case officers and also an interesting information I received was that IRCC has recruited plenty of students on a rolling basis as Program Assistants or Case Processing Agents to help case officers with their workload. This is one of many reasons why lot of proof of funds and work experience documents are marked as Review Required because unlike case officers, most of these students are not highly trained enough to understand such complex documents. Hence, they mark it as RR and leave it to the review of the case officer. Therefore, RR should not always be considered as a bad thing :)

Processing times will definitely improve in future once these backlogs are cleared. Surely, IRCC must have learned from their mistakes and taken all necessary steps to prevent such a thing from repeating again.

Of course, not everything is 100% accurate. I have tried my best to analyze information gained through different means and provide insights. I hope this information is found useful :)
Very useful information... My eligibility is under review required since mid May (aor 21 November)... They never asked for any additional documents ... what could be potential reason for the review?
 
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ashokacca

Hero Member
Jun 21, 2018
325
163
Hello all,just to encourage you to hang on there, I waited 8months (November 23- July 23) with security not started lasting over 5 months. However it took two weeks to clear and I received my appointment letter pretty fast since I live in a less populated province. I know how challenging it was to watch the randomness of the process and had so many things on hold because of no PR decision. just keep being patient, it would surely come and in the blink of an eye it would be over. did my landing yesterday and have receive my copr- just waiting for pr card now. the best and don't give up
Congratulations

And thank you.
 

amans39

Star Member
Jul 11, 2019
132
106
I called IRCC Thursday evening. A very nice lady gave the shocking news in the most pleasant way possible.
There is no decision made on eligibility yet, background check still in process.

AOR: Nov 2, 2018
MEP: Dec 3, 2018

I also joined the 9 months club :), with no real update on the progress. God knows how much more time will they take.
 
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SithLord

VIP Member
Aug 18, 2017
6,869
5,135
Very useful information... My eligibility is under review required since mid May (aor 21 November)... They never asked for any additional documents ... what could be potential reason for the review?
Have you ordered GCMS notes? In majority of cases, it's POF or Employment that are usually marked as RR

You will need to order GCMS notes to get a better picture :)
 
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SithLord

VIP Member
Aug 18, 2017
6,869
5,135
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WOW!! Yes this is definitely the most important thing everybody needs right now :) Why worry about Canada :cool:
 

ashokacca

Hero Member
Jun 21, 2018
325
163
I called IRCC Thursday evening. A very nice lady gave the shocking news in the most pleasant way possible.
There is no decision made on eligibility yet, background check still in process.

AOR: Nov 2, 2018
MEP: Dec 3, 2018

I also joined the 9 months club :), with no real update on the progress. God knows how much more time will they take.
10 days to 9 month club for me
 

Classicdude

Hero Member
Jun 6, 2019
206
208
Have you ordered GCMS notes? In majority of cases, it's POF or Employment that are usually marked as RR

You will need to order GCMS notes to get a better picture :)
Actually my consultant has all information about my file ... I talked to him and he said me to wait ... RR will go itself ... I don’t even know how could I order it at my own ...
 

SithLord

VIP Member
Aug 18, 2017
6,869
5,135
Hi sith
Any update about ur file?
File has been untouched since May 9. Even call centre agents don't know why decision has not been made since my file has been marked to be finalized pending final review :)

Call Centre agents sent 3 remainders previously

1st on May 9th - Decision will be made by June 11th
2nd on June 12th - Decision will be made by July 3rd
3rd on July 3rd - Decision will be made by July 26th

Agent offered to send a fourth one yesterday but I declined it, he still went ahead and sent it anyways :D:D:D

4th on August 2nd - Decision will be made by August 29th

I know for sure when I call them on August 30th, they will send another remainder and give a due date for end of September :D:D:D

Welcome to the never ending cycle :cool::cool::cool:
 
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kzeed12

Hero Member
May 28, 2019
620
483
Visa Office......
Sydney CIO Nova Scotia
AOR Received.
22-09-2018
@SithLord The information on the processing % and timeline was spot on .. That has sadly become the current trend for the so called 6 month express entry for now till IRCC is out of the bottleneck after clearing all the backlogs from previous rash mistakes which i think they have learned from..
Anyways there is a large pool of candidates from 2018 that are undergoing sleepless nights over mismanaged expectation and since we are here sharing information and consoling each other - Lets hope for the best that we all get out of this black hole situation..

As mentioned - 9-13 Months seems more likely for RR cases to get cleared.. Especially taking into effect the medical expiration dates which is crucial .. PPR lies around either remed/ med extension or closer to med expiration - most likely the earlier two..
Hence lets hope for the best for ALL..
I have never seen an online forum group well knit to each other .. :)
 

cansha

VIP Member
Aug 1, 2018
6,675
5,853
File has been untouched since May 9. Even call centre agents don't know why decision has not been made since my file has been marked to be finalized pending final review :)

Call Centre agents sent 3 remainders previously

1st on May 9th - Decision will be made by June 11th
2nd on June 12th - Decision will be made by July 3rd
3rd on July 3rd - Decision will be made by July 26th

Agent offered to send a fourth one yesterday but I declined it, he still went ahead and sent it anyways :D:D:D

4th on August 2nd - Decision will be made by August 29th

I know for sure when I call them on August 30th, they will send another remainder and give a due date for end of September :D:D:D

Welcome to the never ending cycle :cool::cool::cool:
It is almost like a lottery when an agent picks your file. I think if your file gets picked it is probably a matter of minutes the officer will approve it. But, sadly it hasn't happened till now. This aspect of the process can easily be fixed by IRCC and I hope it gets fixed sometime in future.
Waiting in limbo is never easy. I just hope your and wait of everyone here ends soon.