Ray of hope 122th draw

[NikSharma01]

you should go for oinp.

Haha.. This has made me laugh!

I think as per Mr. Ball's predictions the cut-off for next draw is going to be 485+ with 3100 ITAs, that's why he is suggesting a 483 applicant to opt for the PNP route. (when he is already in for the next round of invitations)

On a serious note, you guys must not misguide others!!

@beetle19 no need to listen to others! Count yourself in for the next draw dear and start gathering your docs! Good luck!

 

[EnthuChap]

Hahaha.

Yes. Possibly

My prediction for CRS cut off score for 24 July is:
459-460 with 3600 ITAs. The reason is I'm expecting some OINP 31st May approval. Have yours been approved dear @13nitinsharma?

457-548 with 3900 ITAs. I think there are still alot of 459-460 scorer in the pool after the 10th July draw as the tie break was until June 11 only plus new applicants entering the pool between 10th after the draw to 24th July before the next draw.

You can check my detailed explaination of CRS distribution estimation and cut off prediction in the thread #186 on page 13,dear.

So no respite even with 3600 - CRS will remain high huh.

 

[Khanstan]

So no respite even with 3600 - CRS will remain high huh.

Pls work with ninti prediction. ..I don't see crs staying that high

 

[Dheana90]

So no respite even with 3600 - CRS will remain high huh.

Yeah. It's only my estimation though. Hopefully the actual pool gonna have much more lower scorer and so the cut off will be lower as well.

 

[EnthuChap]

Yeah. It's only my estimation though. Hopefully the actual pool gonna have much more lower scorer and so the cut off will be lower as well.

Yes, i hope so too. With 460+ gone in the last 4 draws, likely that CRS will claw back to 455 and below in the immediate future. More so because, when the cutoff was at 457, the immediate next draw had a cutoff of 454 and that suggests something.

 

[EnthuChap]

Pls work with ninti prediction. ..I don't see crs staying that high

ninti prediction! What is that and where do I find it. A google search didn't help me.

 

[Khanstan]

ninti prediction! What is that and where do I find it. A google search didn't help me.

I mean @ 13nintisharma in the forum

 

[imusi]

Hey this is my opinion only.
I think you should wait a couple of draws, 458 is a really good score now, you most likely can draw out this coming round or the next one. If you go for EOR, your ielts score will be on hold, which is not valid for your application even you draw out. So I suggest you just need to be patience. Your ITA will come eventually.

Thanks for your valuable input. We will wait till July 24th to see the trend and decide later.

 

[imusi]

When I was struggling to get CLB9 I felt ITA is just within an arm’s length and I had only 1 mission to complete... Now that I am with the CLB9 I dreamed for, suddenly I feel there are too many ambiguities and tasks for me to deal with... and the real wait & struggles only just start from here.

 

[AttitudeAdjustment]

Guys, My HR has declined to give me the Employee reference letter. Said it's not possible and they will only be providing an Experience letter after I leave the Organization week.
Is there anything I can do?I don't have much time before leaving the organization too.
Thanks!
P.S: I did not receive an ITA yet.

 

[AttitudeAdjustment]

Guys, My HR has declined to give me the Employee reference letter. Said it's not possible and they will only be providing an Experience letter after I leave the Organization week.
Is there anything I can do?I don't have much time before leaving the organization too.
Thanks!
P.S: I did not receive an ITA yet.

Organization this week*

 

[13nitinsharma]

As per current trend how many days it takes to approve an oinp application after submission? @13nitinsharma

30-60 days!

 

[Rohanisha]

When I was struggling to get CLB9 I felt ITA is just within an arm’s length and I had only 1 mission to complete... Now that I am with the CLB9 I dreamed for, suddenly I feel there are too many ambiguities and tasks for me to deal with... and the real wait & struggles only just start from here.

Exactly the same feeling!! You just described the exact same what I am feeling since a couple of months now.

 

[13nitinsharma]

Hahaha.

Yes. Possibly

My prediction for CRS cut off score for 24 July is:
459-460 with 3600 ITAs. The reason is I'm expecting some OINP 31st May approval. Have yours been approved dear @13nitinsharma?

457-548 with 3900 ITAs. I think there are still alot of 459-460 scorer in the pool after the 10th July draw as the tie break was until June 11 only plus new applicants entering the pool between 10th after the draw to 24th July before the next draw.

You can check my detailed explaination of CRS distribution estimation and cut off prediction in the thread #186 on page 13,dear.

My application is in process for approval yet, I hope I get approved before July 24th draw. Let's hope for the best

By the way, prediction for July 24th:

ITA’s : 3,600
CRS: 458-459

ITA’s: 3,750
CRS: 457-458

ITA’s: 3,900
CRS: 457-458

 

[Kenneth89]

My application is in process for approval yet, I hope I get approved before July 24th draw. Let's hope for the best

By the way, prediction for July 24th:

ITA’s : 3,600
CRS: 458-459

ITA’s: 3,750















Do you think more than 50% of the458 will be picked? Am curious cos the tie breaking rule....Thanks