Ray of hope 122th draw

[nj22]

Remain here as a visitor but 451 is close to impossible to next 2-3 months, extend a work permit, apply federal skill worker back to your home country, apply study permit (similar as visitor)

Is it possible to restore my status as a worker?

 

[Adityan92]

I currently have an open work permit. I was not able to apply for an extension based on the information I read online

Please refer to a lawyer immediately.

 

[BLACKPILL]

My work permit expires July 14. I have 451 points what are my options after expiration. Does anyone here knows?

Apply for a tourist visa or another college. Or you can go back to your home country and keep working to get points.

 

[Herlo]

@Punitsingh and @nitinsharma, whats your prediction for 24th July? Waiting eagerly

 

[Mr_fabrizio]

Do we need to submit transcripts of degrees or just the original degree is enough after receiving the ITA?

Scanned copy of Original degree,Ielts certificate and ECA assessment. No transcripts needed.

 

[nj22]

Apply for a tourist visa or another college. Or you can go back to your home country and keep working to get points.

Thank you all.

 

[Not_Your_Donkey_Kong]

remember back to February-May, it took four months to lower the scores from 457 to 450 and don't forget federal skill draw will happen in September

ITA increase but CRS only drop 2 points (compare to 3 points last time with ITA 3350)

Consider this. If the number of ITA's earlier in that period was 3600 and not 3250 or 3300, CRS would have fell faster than that.
Now if we keep going at this speed, it will at most take 3 draws before the balance is restored to this chaos. The CRS will hover around 449-451 by the end of August.

And after then, with each draw, we could see a drop of 2 points, since the build up in 450-450 range has been more or less, stable.

(Last time cut off swooped to 450 was in the first may draw. On May 24, there were around 5900 people in 440-450 range. And on July 5 the number of applicants in 440-450 stood at approximately 7100. The build up in those 43 days in the 440-450 range was thus, only an increase of 1200 profiles, which is rather an uplifting figure!)

The only thing I would worry about however is b2b draw (if it is followed by a three week draw, it might screw the entire thing again).

 

[Punitsingh]

For me, the bigger scarier part is that the cut off is June 11th, which implies there are many more 460 scorers in the pool, we can estimate them to be around 1000.

The overall score has come down by 2 points to 460 but with an increase in 250 ITA's, the score is still hovering at 460s and going by present higher standards, we can expect anything below 457-458 to be just wasting our time.

Not 1000, explanation is below:

I predicted as below for 3350 ITAs:
CRS:461 (80 % chances)
CRS: 460 (20% chances)
Which was very correct as CRS was 460 wid 3600 ITA

Now this prediction was based on assuming accumulation of 473 candidates on each score point.
If the prediction was correct then assumption of 473 candidates on each position was also correct, hence no surprise, pool/CIC behaved as expected

Approx. 60% of 460 have got cleared and 40% are left now.

 

[Punitsingh]

Increased ITAs is indeed a blessing. But expected to drop the score lower than this with this number of ITAs.

Prediction for 3350 ITA was:
CRS: 461 (80%)
CRS: 460 (20%)

Hence no surprise of CRS 460 with 3600 ITA
Please see, accumulation is very high due to 4 week gap. This draw did the recovery of only 250 ITAs and we lost 3350 ITA due to 4 week gap.
3350/(3900-3350) = 6.09 draws of 3900 ITA are required to offset the loss and accumulation caused by 4 week gap

 

[BLACKPILL]

After today's draw, when can score come down to 456? @Punitsingh @13nitinsharma @NikSharma01 @Angel113 @BLACKPILL @Dheana90 and others please give your opinion.

In my opinion, the worst case is the second draw of September. Optimistically, the end of August.

 

[13nitinsharma]

PREDICTION FOR JULY 24:

ITA’s : 3,600
CRS: 458-459

ITA’s: 3,750
CRS: 457-458

ITA’s: 3,900
CRS: 457-458

Note: Above predictions are also based on considering OINP approved applications which will be part of the next draw. So, CRS won’t change drastically.

 

[NikSharma01]

Two of my posts including the one you quoted was just removed with reaso. "unnecessary comment"

No point man.. seems administrators here side with realityfacing guy..

Sometimes The Moderators come up with irrelevant reasons while cleaning up the threads!

Suggestion to you my friend, ignore and simply ‘block’ these negative folks. Your life will be eased.

Otherwise, as they have nothing to contribute to the society so far, they’ll keep on wasting our time. Senseless & vague posts, always!

In this entire world, Canadians are known for their friendly behaviour. Even, it has been claimed that no matter how hard one tries, he or she won't be able to meet any rude Canadian ever in his life. This fact has been revealed in several probes/studies.

I wonder all of the negative folks present here who discourage others, have been through this PR process before and might have struggled hard or faced the same predicaments as we're facing now. However, after landing on Canadian land their attitudes have been raised by extensive arrogance! As a result, they feel like they're the only worthy skilled workers/migrants alive in this world or in Canada and thus, are not in favour of more immigrants to be relocated there. They think of themselves as high-standard individuals and guide other strugglers with incorrect information. This way they're spoiling the reputation of all of the Canadians. They must FACE THE REALITY that they're not Canadians because they're rude and arrogant. They're just worthless creatures alive!!

 

[vansh16]

It may be insignificant and foolish but I have heard that IELTS computer based is much better and people have been scoring a band higher than the paper-based...

It's not true

 

[mahamkd]

If someone has worked 37.5 hrs for 1 year and 2 months how many hours will that be in total? would they count it as 30 hrs a week?

 

[13nitinsharma]

Sometimes The Moderators come up with irrelevant reasons while cleaning up the threads!


In this entire world, Canadians are known for their friendly behaviour. Even, it has been claimed that no matter how hard one tries, he or she won't be able to meet any rude Canadian ever in his life. This fact has been revealed in several probes/studies.

I wonder all of the negative folks present here who discourage others, have been through this PR process before and might have struggled hard or faced the same predicaments as we're facing now. However, after landing on Canadian land their attitudes have been raised by extensive arrogance! As a result, they feel like they're the only worthy skilled workers/migrants alive in this world or in Canada and thus, are not in favour of more immigrants to be relocated there. They think of themselves as high-standard individuals and guide other strugglers with incorrect information. This way they're spoiling the reputation of all of the Canadians. They must FACE THE REALITY that they're not Canadians because they're rude and arrogant. They're just worthless creatures alive!!

Relax. You also never know these people are here in any part of India too. Their lack of knowledge shows they don’t know about the A B C of Canada.

I seriously laugh many of times since Jan this year that how do they come again and again (only on draw date) and show their stupidity at their best. They are known for their Senseless, negative and vague discussions always.

No need to give them any attention, waste of time totally. Let’s simply skip their posts.

Punjabi ch kehnde hai na, Dafa kar kanjraa nu. Lol!!!