Ray of Hope - 118th Draw

[a16107]

anyone know how many people is working at IRCC for PR application

Canada sent about 80000-90000 ITA and how many VO working on it?

 

[Folaroyal]

I say again that until we have a knowledge of the 451-600 spread; no one will effectively predict a score except by just guessing! The data is vague and the trend is not sufficient enough to support the various predictions.
There are lots of "what ifs".... what if the most number of people in the range are on 451??... what if 80% of the people in the range are 452??... what if they are 600?.... sooooo yu see... all we can just do is wait.. but I have a conviction that it will be favorable!
Regards

 

[ryeCatcher]

The score is not going over 460 tomorrow. Last time, the score was over 460 was in January 2017 when the score was 468. I went over the draw schedule since 2017 and it looks like no matter how long the gap is ( several incidents of 3 weeks and a couple of 4 weeks) the crs score didn't jump over 460 which leads me to believe that most of the applicants are in the 450-460 zone.

Wow didn't know it was 468 at some point in Jan 2017. I think its definitely possible to get that high, or 461-465 range at least.
In the internal score tracker on this forum, we see that of the 450+ score candidates, 50% are 461+ and none of them have PNP (as far as I can tell).

If there are ~6K candidates in the pool right now (above 450), I would say at least half of them are 461+, then also depends on how many have PNPs and how many ITAs are given. Fingers crossed for positive outcome for everyone here and large # ITAs

 

[alibutt2013]

Wow didn't know it was 468 at some point in Jan 2017. I think its definitely possible to get that high, or 461-465 range at least.
In the internal score tracker on this forum, we see that of the 450+ score candidates, 50% are 461+ and none of them have PNP (as far as I can tell).

If there are ~6K candidates in the pool right now (above 450), I would say at least half of them are 461+, then also depends on how many have PNPs and how many ITAs are given. Fingers crossed for positive outcome for everyone here and large # ITAs

Yeah it could go above 460 but the possibility is low. And for the internal score tracker 37 applicants above 450 and 11 above 460 which is not exactly 50%.

 

[indpnv]

Yeah it could go above 460 but the possibility is low. And for the internal score tracker 37 applicants above 450 and 11 above 460 which is not exactly 50%.

Wait for the internal tracker to be updated There were like ~25+ with 455+.

 

[alibutt2013]

Wait for the internal tracker to be updated There were like ~25+ with 455+.

Holy! Panick is starting to kick in lol

 

[ryeCatcher]

Holy! Panick is starting to kick in lol

The last one I see (probably not updated) has :
461+ : 11, 455 - 460 : 11, 451-455 : 25.

If this is the distribution roughly for the pool, we assume ~6K above 450, and ~3K non PNP ITAs (not sure if that is too generous) then can expect cut-off to be in 455-460 range. Whereas if number of ITAs goes to 3900 then it might be on lower side around ~455. But all just guesswork really, not worth much

 

[Mehdichr]

Hi everyone, I am currently in the pool (416 score). I am interested in OINP FSSW which has one of the craziest trends.
They sent invitations once a week since Jan 2018 (never more than 70ish), stopped on Feb 7th. only to send 336 invitations last week. Unfortunately I didn't have French as my first language back then and had to adjust it.
- Any reading on when the next FSSW draw might be held?
- Do I really stand a chance since the criteria is not really clear?

Thanks guys

 

[daughty]

submit one and withdraw another

I haven't submitted any as of yet. Still waiting for our ECA. Is it possible to get into the pool without getting our ECA?

 

[daughty]

Super irritated after 2 attempts?
IELTS is a money making gamble wer I come from. I did 13 times to achieve CLB9. May b am not that good.
But for yo’ll attempting another time shouldn’t b this frustration. Push him to do again. Anyways yo’ll have a good score. All the best.

I agree! However everyone has their own frustration level.. The way I see it, it's for our better future - so he should continue to take the test as many times as it takes. Fingers crossed - hoping he gives it another shot.

 

[Nsidhu]

I haven't submitted any as of yet. Still waiting for our ECA. Is it possible to get into the pool without getting our ECA?

I don't remember your score?

 

[daughty]

I don't remember your score?

If I'm the primary applicant, it's 457. If my husband gets CLB 9, we have 461. But we're both awaiting our ECA

 

[Reezu]

(Updated till 11:00 AM IST today) CRS summary of active members waiting for Golden ITA:

• 460+ (Total 10) - Bloum: 491 | ajinkya.jadhav38: 486 | Ali1122: 479 | h2o_o2_co2: 478 | slim-shady: 478 | indpnv: 473 | KayPi: 468 | ashwin863: 462 | ajangbar001: 461 | meet0708: 461

• 455-460 (Total 11) – ryeCatcher: 460 | MuibKhan: 458 | chirkut: 458 | #EEC: 457 | sarak1812: 457 | royalking: 456 | phuketlove: 456 | SimonSaleh: 456 | Sara890: 455 | Eddiesol: 455 | Nsidhu: 455

• 450-454 (Total 26) - Folaroyal: 453 | madhav_91: 453 | Suhasrs: 452 | sehgaljps: 452 | cdddelhi: 451 | Bageshree: 451 | praveen22: 451 | captainUT: 451 | 13nitinsharma: 450 | kalex123: 450 | nehadeep: 450 | jkaur95: 450 | shamu2013: 450 | hakweye: 450 | parvin2019: 450 | ekta29: 450 | skg1988: 450 | DreamITA: 450 | mamuso: 450 | vmsanthosh.chn: 450 | akm_11: 450 | anusha1712: 450 | mominmalik5: 450 | mandiebraxton: 450 | xyz2017: 450 | Avmaia: 450

• 445-449 (Total 53) - Shaanoh: 449 | Div_newbie:449 | veritas1994: 449 | dappy9: 449 | Manru:449 | AnkitaShukla: 449 | a.altigani: 449 | IndianFam: 449 | prsingh: 449 | SanjibSaha: 449 | kvaram_62: 449 |nitinkalra07: 449 | patel_d07: 448 | EnthuChap: 448 | shine04: 448 | Agarwalparesh26: 448 | Tivativalu: 448 | AmeyaGodbole: 448 | Tilly3: 448 | M2a3r4y5a6m: 448 | SimonSaleh: 448 | Hydowwu: 448 | msgill88:448 | Lazybug: 448 | matteis:447 | D'trox: 447 | Noopur_23: 447 | Ravi_15: 447 | Meer85: 447 | Flowerview: 447 | armaanwadhwa: 447| nikki1992: 447 | Saial: 447 | Ranjitrip: 447 | shaunk_redemption: 447 | Brian_natt: 447 | infectious: 447 | LKRYA: 447 | Reet_123: 446 | Kk1234:446 | SASH8288: 446 | Sreedev83: 446 | MynameisMTS: 446 | RochelleAlford: 446 | rahulkraju: 446 | prince_lords:445 | Uchyann: 445 | frightenedpanda: 445 | dawak: 445 | nolimits7405: 445 | Boluwaduro: 445 | asad_ali_awan: 445 | MittalM: 445 | siataheri:445 | Yiss: 445 | IeltsDream2019: 445

• 441-444 (Total 31) - NikSharma01:444 | NishaKirthi: 444 | Sonammahajan: 444 | mominmalik5: 444 | kadeed:444 | Jms_16: 444 | v_nitesh_k: 444 | Ainpeespirant: 443 | MzBAH: 443 | gmi3001:443 | pursuit: 443 | ravinder_singh:443 | sidra91: 443 | rharmon: 443 | seff786: 443 | seff786: 443| aloobharta01:442 | Kiamin: 442 | tani: 442 | MV18: 442 | Shishir Chandra Kumar: 441 | SociallyAwkward: 441 | BumbleFrisbee: 441 | Ram89: 441 | intels: 441 | Maalee: 441 | SJ24: 441 | anandthepilot: 441 | beluluba: 441 | Mukeshprasada: 441 | akhil994: 441

• 435-440 (Total 14) - bluehorse:440 | Tamilan8: 440 | Chavoshhh: 440 | ppa: 440 | Siddharth-BOM: 438 | cadiee:438 | :438 | Sara1981:438 | rdj08: 438 | Nidsy: 438 | ghvijay: 438 | Kiamin: 437 | Sam0301: 437 | sheikh.abaz: 435

• Below 435 (Total 5) - Life79: 432 | Day2203: 431 | moto90: 424 | AND IND: 423 | Sdabas: 421

Please share your updated CRS score if you're not included in this list.

Mine is 474. Jumped from 448 with improved IELTS on May 24.

 

[daughty]

I don't remember your score?

I was told we can't make a profile till we don't have our ECA. Wes is taking forever and I'll lose 5 points on June 29th.

 

[Nsidhu]

If I'm the primary applicant, it's 457. If my husband gets CLB 9, we have 461. But we're both awaiting our ECA

So with ECA 457? Without ECA your score will be down if you are both waiting. You have to wait until you get ECA only then you can claim the points. When you create a profile they ask for ECA completion date and reference number. Without that you won't get points.