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June 2018 AOR - join here

mathansri

mathansri

Hero Member
Jan 28, 2018
413
586
Bangalore
cansha said:
Ok since IRCC is not on their Monday beast mode yet ... change of topic. Small survey for everyone.

Who is your favorite character in GOT and Why? Choose only one.
Click to expand...
I will go with Tyrian.

Hated by his own father, cant fight as he is a dwarf, survived only by intelligence, his wittiness and Peter Dinklage's stellar acting!
 
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mathansri

mathansri

Hero Member
Jan 28, 2018
413
586
Bangalore
cansha said:
In my opinion the stat of 80% completion in 6 months is mostly a lie or a statistics of convenience. I know a thing or two about twisting data to tell the story you want to tell and that is exactly IRCC does (I'm almost sure) and I will give a few examples how that can be done.

Also, the data on myimmitracker may not be an accurate depiction of progress but I think it is not way off either. There are two monthly draws of 3900 each. Let's assume same number of applications submissions in one month so ~7800 application submissions in a month. As per immitracker we have ~450 cases for a month that is almost 6% of entire population for a month. That is a very good sample. No one actually goes and surveys 6% of a population in real world. Now there may be questions if this sample is representative and blah blah but I think it is pretty good. And that is the reason I just focus on %age completion because that stat I believe is very close to actual completion.

Now, let's come back to 80% or 93% what IRCC is claiming ... They can tell their story by (Pure speculation do not start a war on this)

1. Removing all cases which have a review required. If you notice IRCC says we give a decision on completed application. Anything review required I think is excluded from the calculation. So if the decision comes on a review required within 6 months it may be included else excluded.
2. They had a buffer of 2 weeks because of R10 check .. for this year they have increased the buffer to 1 month after September (a clear indicator of how much they have fallen behind)
3. They include completed cases from later months for calculations but won't include the incomplete cases. For example let's say they wanted to show numbers at the end of November. If you see immitracker almost 20% cases of August have been completed. All these will become part of teh calculation but remaining 80% won't be considered because they have not even completed 6 months yet.

One more twisted way of improving their calculation is where they can claim decision on number of people vs number of applications. So let's say there is an application with 3 dependents and hence 4 people and there is an application with single applicant. They will approve the one with dependents and can claim 4/5 =80% completion vs 1/2=50% completion.

The thing with numbers is you can tell any story you want as long as people you are telling the story to don't have access to those numbers. That is exactly what happens here and hence I take that 80% number with a pinch of salt.

And you also take this post with a pinch of salt. It is pure speculation on my part.
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@cansha Somewhere I read, the reason why CIC is holding off already Approved applications is that they will issue PPRs in Dec and will show the numbers for the month, although there is no real work done and they can enjoy Xmas vacation. Does this sound legitimate to you?
 
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cansha

VIP Member
Aug 1, 2018
6,675
5,853
mathansri said:
@cansha Somewhere I read, the reason why CIC is holding off already Approved applications is that they will issue PPRs in Dec and will show the numbers for the month, although there is no real work done and they can enjoy Xmas vacation. Does this sound legitimate to you?
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Nah .. I believe holding off approved applications doesn't have a sinister motive. It is just inefficiency of their system. I don't think there is a flag in the system which says this file needs only one click so complete it first. So most probably since those files got reassigned in the last minute I think the new person doesn't even know that they require only 5 minutes of attention and hence the delay.
 
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Celocap

Newbie
Nov 28, 2018
2
1
Hey guys.. I recently was asked to submit Forms 5406 and 5669 (about 14 days ago). Did anyone receive the PPR after sending additional documents? How long did it take after sending add documents?
 
Prashant86_2000

Prashant86_2000

Champion Member
Jun 17, 2018
1,721
1,966
Bangalore
Category........
FSW
Visa Office......
Ottawa
NOC Code......
0124
App. Filed.......
23-04-2018
AOR Received.
17-06-2018
Celocap said:
Hey guys.. I recently was asked to submit Forms 5406 and 5669 (about 14 days ago). Did anyone receive the PPR after sending additional documents? How long did it take after sending add documents?
Click to expand...
Well we all are sitting here for more than 5 months after ADR (Additional Document Request). Fairly, depends on your timeline...

Can you suggest your AOR, MEP, IP1, IP2, ADR dates?
 
C

Celocap

Newbie
Nov 28, 2018
2
1
Prashant86_2000 said:
Well we all are sitting here for more than 5 months after ADR (Additional Document Request). Fairly, depends on your timeline...

Can you suggest your AOR, MEP, IP1, IP2, ADR dates?
Click to expand...
Sure:
AOR 20/07
MP 05/08
IP1 05/08
IP2 (I actually think i went to IP2 simultaneously with the ADR request. Correct me if iam mistaken, but isnt IP2 when the background check status changes to "in progress"? If it is, it was changed 14/11/2018 along with the ADR.

God, 5 months, i cannot imagine the anxiety
 
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