Ray of Hope - 95th Draw
- Thread starter wolfman2017
- Start date
Hi KK,Well done my friend. If I had hard days with IELTS, you had even harder ordeal with it. Persistence is the key and you did exactly that. See they don't say it for nothing, it doesn't matter how many times you fall, the thing that matter is how quickly you stand up after you fall. You should be absolutely proud of yourself. To some extent I know how you must be feeling. The day you got your IELTS score with CLB 9, you will never forget it in your life. I won't, although mine was a call from IDP on Jan 22 about the EOR. Many many congratulations on your IELTS score and the upcoming ITA. If you need any help with the e-APR, you can always PM me! Good luck
Congratulations to you on the COPR and I thank you for the kind words shared.
I am at 420 points and with NOC of 0111 Finance Manager. Do I stand any chance? I would not like to spend bucks if chances are slim. I am fine with PNP route. COnfused
You don't try OINP, OINP tries you
. I meant OINP sends NOI based on their criteria. (You don't need to apply for anything. Just select Ontario while creating your EE profile) Coming to your CRS, OINP looks difficult at 420 as per this year's trend. But you never know Have you maxed out on your CRS? If not, try increasing it to 440+
NOMAD2017
Hero Member
- Mar 9, 2017
- 441
- Category........
- FSW
- Visa Office......
- Paris
- NOC Code......
- 111
- AOR Received.
- 13-12-2018
- Med's Done....
- 03-11-2019
- Passport Req..
- 20-11-2019
- VISA ISSUED...
- 07-12-2019
- LANDED..........
- 01-10-2020
So excited about the General Election in Pakistan tomorrow, totally forgot about the draw all the best people., specially @Reddiered07
Hope the cut-off is 440, and you get the ITA. You know what, the draw just before the birthday usually brings luck , we also got ITA just 6 days before my hubby's birthday. My friend who has moved to Canada already, also got ITA just 5 days before her birthday. Fingers crossed. Best of luck
all the best people., specially @Reddiered07Hope the cut-off is 440, and you get the ITA. You know what, the draw just before the birthday usually brings luck
, we also got ITA just 6 days before my hubby's birthday. My friend who has moved to Canada already, also got ITA just 5 days before her birthday. Fingers crossed. Best of luck
The draw strategy this year seems unfair in so many ways...However, you might be among the very few on 440 that'll receive ITA tomorrow (if the cut off is 440), since you entered the pool January. There are lots of people who also fell victim to the tie break rule on the 23rd May, unfortunately some of them are about to or have already lost points. Good luck to you tomorrow.
I thought it was impossible too, until I carried out this analysis earlier today. What's your take on this:
Pool size on the 17/07/2018 (estimate)
600 - 1200: 219
451 - 600 : 314
441 - 450 : 866
Total: 1399
441 to 1200: Pool size entry (300/day) 17/07/2018 - 24/07/2018: 2400 - 2700
Draw size: 3750 (25/07/2018)
(2400+1399) Total: 3799...... 49 left on 441
(2700+1399) Total: 4099.....349 left on 441
Either way, cut off estimate (25/07/18): 441
Tie break with 49 left on 441: ??
Tie break with 349 left on 441:??
08/08/2018 next draw size: 4000
Please note: 300/day (441-1200) is a conservative estimate (this has been overestimated to accommodate IELTS result effect, if there is any). Typically, the 300/day entry should include profiles with/on 400 crs.
If this is the case, the 25/07/18 draw should clear all profiles on 441, and possibly include very few profiles on 440. In summary, tomorrow's draw could be 440 optimistically, or 441 conservatively.