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Ray of Hope - 83rd Draw

keebs

Hero Member
Jan 31, 2018
289
123
Trinidad and Tobago
Category........
FSW
Visa Office......
Port of Spain
NOC Code......
7205
App. Filed.......
05-02-2018
AOR Received.
06/03/2017
Passport Req..
03/07/2018
VISA ISSUED...
11/07/2018
LANDED..........
02-10-2018
I just got the email with a score of 471
 

Varunaimar

Hero Member
Jan 25, 2018
718
419
India
Category........
FSW
Visa Office......
Ottawa
NOC Code......
2132
App. Filed.......
18-03-2018
AOR Received.
20-05-2018
IELTS Request
29-12-2017
Med's Done....
08-05-2018
Passport Req..
20-09-2018
VISA ISSUED...
04-10-2018
LANDED..........
26-04-2019
Calculations I have done on net new applicants entering the pool at different CRS point levels, based on the CRS pool distributions:

From Oct 26th to Nov 9th:

above 440: 171 per day
above 430: 239 per day
above 410: 272 per day

From Nov 9th to Nov 30th:

above 440:174 per day
above 430:213 per day
above 410:237 per day

Nov 30th to Dec 18th:

above 440:171 per day
above 430:197 per day
above 410:215 per day

Dec 18th to Jan 4th
above 440:161 per day
above 430:195 per day
above 410:211 per day

Jan 4th to Jan 18th:
above 440:163 per day
above 430:193 per day
above 410:221 per day

from Jan18th to Feb 1st:
above 440:186 per day
above 430:216 per day
above 410:258 per day

For those interested in how the calculations are done, here is a sample:

For example, lets take calculation for above 440 from Dec 18th to Jan 4th:

All those with CRS points 440 and above on Jan 4th= 233+1374+1274=2881
All those with CRS points 440 and above on Dec 18th=420+1211+1260=2891
We know that the Jan 4th value is = Dec 18th value + net entrants into pool (i.e new entrants - expired entries) - ITAs from Dec 20th
2881=2891 + net entrants - 2750
2881-2891+2750=net entrants
So we have net entrants between Jan 4th and Dec 18th with crs above 440 = 2740
Therefore we have average entrants per day above 440 between Jan 4th and Dec 18th= 2740/17=161
This trend is disturbing. More candidates are joining the pool at higher levels which is probably why the CRS isn't coming down as fast as we want it to.
 

iamxty

Champion Member
Mar 13, 2017
2,341
4,309
Singapore
Category........
PNP
NOC Code......
2174
App. Filed.......
09-07-2017
Nomination.....
01-08-2017
AOR Received.
07-09-2017
File Transfer...
04-11-2017
Passport Req..
08-03-2018
More ITAs! Good things happen when you least expect it. :)

Congrats to all!
 
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funsosp

Member
Jan 25, 2018
13
16
Category........
NOC Code......
2174
App. Filed.......
08-05-2018
AOR Received.
08-05-2018
Got ITA. Thanks guys
 

pessacanada

Champion Member
May 5, 2017
1,190
3,099
Category........
FSW
Congratulations to ITA receivers! Best of luck in your post-ITA application!

To the rest, hang in there and good things are about to happen. An early sign is an increasing ITAs.

Stay hopeful and positive!
 
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