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Ray of hope - FSW - 1

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mushymush

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Oct 19, 2020
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This candidate pool distribution compares the pool on different dates. I checked this to find out the CRS ranges of CEC / FSW / PNP
That Feb draw actually showed us in which range the CEC folks are standing.

Since there was a month of gap after the 28K draw it's difficult to determine the exact range of folks who were CEC.
0-460 (85%) - CEC >460 - 15%
400-599 (95%) - FSW <400 - 5%
600-1200 - PNP

So if there is no streamlining, then the IRCC has / will utilize(d) the complete (~90%) pool in this year. if there are FSW draws then the lowest cut off it'll reach is 464-467 in 2021 and the OINP follows the FSW cutoff

Please share your understandings, speculations & insights about this if you saw this post.
This doesn't account for influx of candidates. People who graduated in 2020 will slowly start getting to one year experience as the year goes on. They have potentially as many (or more) people as they have already issued ITAs to this year, who will become CEC eligible. There's no way to accurately estimate this number, especially considering the lack of clarity of how many of these people already applied through the new streams, how many wil apply twice to get an ITA quicker if it's possible etc.
 

mushymush

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"Update from dear leader Justin Trudeau:

As of today, 20 million doses of COVID-19 vaccines have been administered across Canada. To everyone who has helped make this happen, from those working on the front lines and administering the vaccines to those rolling up their sleeve and getting the shot: thank you.
We’ll keep working to distribute more vaccines to the provinces and territories and get that number even higher. This week, we’ve received 4.5 million doses - and every week until at least the end of July, we’re going to receive more than 2 million doses from Pfizer alone."



Canada has a population of 35 million and why is Canada hoarding 150 million doses? What is stopping them to donate to poor countries like India?
Canada has a population of 38 million. x2 for two doses = 76 million. They aren't hoarding 150 million doses. They just signed multiple contracts with different companies to diversify their vaccine portfolio in case one of them shit the bed (like AZ, J&J and to a lesser extent, moderna did). And this paid off. If pfizer hadn't come through like it did, Canada would be in deep trouble despite this diversification. Once their population gets fully inoculated, who's to say they won't donate the rest?
 

mushymush

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Its pretty confusing. One person is saying that they will do draw in next one or two months other is saying that it'll occur in late November/December... which one to trust.
Noone. It's all speculation. All you do is wait and hope to perfectly time your application preparation with when they resume draws.
 

scylla

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How could we know though? We only see the US as having these people because Trump brought them out of hiding and made it acceptable to be ignorant and hateful. Canada just hasn't had a Trump yet, but I'm sure there's enough hate to go around there as well.
Highly unlikely a true Trump would ever happen in Canada due to the three party system. The three party system gives Canada a level of protection against candidates like that actually being elected to head the country. The two party system in the US polarizes politics and is what made the Trump mess possible.
 

Alysson

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Canada's first-dose vaccinations surpass U.S., as American daily rate declines



TORONTO -- The U.S. is still far ahead of Canada when it comes to people who are fully vaccinated against COVID-19. But its vaccination rate has slowed considerably, while Canada has just surpassed America when it comes to one-dose vaccines per capita.

As of Friday afternoon, 48.95% of Canada’s total population has received at least one dose, according to CTVNews.ca’s vaccine tracker, compared with 48.2% of the U.S. population, as reported by the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

When it comes to full vaccinations, 37.86% of the U.S. population is now fully vaccinated, compared with just 4.83% in Canada as of Friday.

However, the rate of Americans being vaccinated has slowed dramatically.

The CDC says the average daily pace of COVID-19 vaccinations is down almost 50% from a peak in April.

Over the past 7 days, Canada has been vaccinating an average of 0.88% of its population with first doses. Compare that with the U.S., which has been inoculating just 0.24% of its population daily with first doses the same time period. And while the U.S. is also administering a lot of second doses, its total vaccination rate has declined significantly.
Meanwhile, Canada’s deputy chief public health officer said this week that Canadians could be receiving their second doses sooner than expected. And that we may be on track to “shorten the interval” between first and second doses, thanks to millions more vaccine deliveries expected.

“Canada does not have a one-dose strategy, we’ve always had a two-dose strategy,” Dr. Howard Njoo said Thursday during a press conference. “The issue is about extending the dose interval between the first and second doses, so I think obviously more doses coming to the country very quickly, we’re well on track to offer that second dose.”

Intergovernmental Affiairs Minister Dominic LeBlanc added on Friday that 58 per cent of adults have now received at least one dose of a COVID-19 vaccine. He says the country is on track to administer a first vaccine dose to all eligible Canadians by the end of June, and to fully vaccinate them by September.

Ontario announced Friday that, beginning May 24, it would start administering second doses of the AstraZeneca vaccine for those who received their first dose between March 19 and March 19. People can choose to receive their second dose as early as 10 weeks after the initial dose. The announcement comes as tens of thousands of AstraZeneca doses were set to expire by the end of May.

Ontario also marked a record-high number of doses given out in a single day on Thursday, with 158,524 vaccines.

Canada is expected to receive a further 1.6 million doses of the AstraZeneca viral vector-based vaccine and is negotiating to procure more doses from the U.S.

Meanwhile, Canada should be receiving up to 36 million doses of Pfizer and Moderna mRNA vaccines in the next two months – with 24.2 million Pfizer and between 10 million and 12 million Moderna expected.
They will probably need to start applying second doses only with Pfizer in July or order more pfizer shots. They ordered 48 mi which is enough for 24 mi. They have already used it on around 15 mi people and will have already used Pfizer on 24 mi next month.
 

Alysson

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Highly unlikely a true Trump would ever happen in Canada due to the three party system. The three party system gives Canada a level of protection against candidates like that actually being elected to head the country. The two party system in the US polarizes politics and is what made the Trump mess possible.
A trumper ran last election with his new party, after falling out with the conservatives. Couldn´t even hold his own seat.
 
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Uncle Yayo

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Canada's first-dose vaccinations surpass U.S., as American daily rate declines



TORONTO -- The U.S. is still far ahead of Canada when it comes to people who are fully vaccinated against COVID-19. But its vaccination rate has slowed considerably, while Canada has just surpassed America when it comes to one-dose vaccines per capita.

As of Friday afternoon, 48.95% of Canada’s total population has received at least one dose, according to CTVNews.ca’s vaccine tracker, compared with 48.2% of the U.S. population, as reported by the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

When it comes to full vaccinations, 37.86% of the U.S. population is now fully vaccinated, compared with just 4.83% in Canada as of Friday.

However, the rate of Americans being vaccinated has slowed dramatically.

The CDC says the average daily pace of COVID-19 vaccinations is down almost 50% from a peak in April.

Over the past 7 days, Canada has been vaccinating an average of 0.88% of its population with first doses. Compare that with the U.S., which has been inoculating just 0.24% of its population daily with first doses the same time period. And while the U.S. is also administering a lot of second doses, its total vaccination rate has declined significantly.
Meanwhile, Canada’s deputy chief public health officer said this week that Canadians could be receiving their second doses sooner than expected. And that we may be on track to “shorten the interval” between first and second doses, thanks to millions more vaccine deliveries expected.

“Canada does not have a one-dose strategy, we’ve always had a two-dose strategy,” Dr. Howard Njoo said Thursday during a press conference. “The issue is about extending the dose interval between the first and second doses, so I think obviously more doses coming to the country very quickly, we’re well on track to offer that second dose.”

Intergovernmental Affiairs Minister Dominic LeBlanc added on Friday that 58 per cent of adults have now received at least one dose of a COVID-19 vaccine. He says the country is on track to administer a first vaccine dose to all eligible Canadians by the end of June, and to fully vaccinate them by September.

Ontario announced Friday that, beginning May 24, it would start administering second doses of the AstraZeneca vaccine for those who received their first dose between March 19 and March 19. People can choose to receive their second dose as early as 10 weeks after the initial dose. The announcement comes as tens of thousands of AstraZeneca doses were set to expire by the end of May.

Ontario also marked a record-high number of doses given out in a single day on Thursday, with 158,524 vaccines.

Canada is expected to receive a further 1.6 million doses of the AstraZeneca viral vector-based vaccine and is negotiating to procure more doses from the U.S.

Meanwhile, Canada should be receiving up to 36 million doses of Pfizer and Moderna mRNA vaccines in the next two months – with 24.2 million Pfizer and between 10 million and 12 million Moderna expected.
Not quite there. I believe in your abilities.
The extension was bound to happen....

Rubbish, US has a population of 328 million while Canada has a population of 38 million... surpass fire!
 

scylla

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A trumper ran last election with his new party, after falling out with the conservatives. Couldn´t even hold his own seat.
Exactly.

And thank goodness. He was such an idiot.
 
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zagcollins

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"Update from dear leader Justin Trudeau:

As of today, 20 million doses of COVID-19 vaccines have been administered across Canada. To everyone who has helped make this happen, from those working on the front lines and administering the vaccines to those rolling up their sleeve and getting the shot: thank you.
We’ll keep working to distribute more vaccines to the provinces and territories and get that number even higher. This week, we’ve received 4.5 million doses - and every week until at least the end of July, we’re going to receive more than 2 million doses from Pfizer alone."



Canada has a population of 35 million and why is Canada hoarding 150 million doses? What is stopping them to donate to poor countries like India?
India is poor if you choose to ignore that money there is used for buying MLAs and free vaccine is promised to voters if they vote for the ruling party. There are other countries out there that definitely need it.

Canada is making sure we go the US way and vaccinate a significant proportion of our own before trying to douse fires elsewhere.
 
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dankboi

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Apr 19, 2021
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Government begins laying out metrics for reopening U.S.-Canada border U.S. and Canadian officials are discussing how to move forward with reopening, intergovernmental affairs minister says

Justin Trudeau’s government began to sketch out necessary conditions to ease travel restrictions at the Canada-U.S. border.

Intergovernmental Affairs Minister Dominic Leblanc said Friday that U.S. and Canadian officials are discussing how to move forward with reopening the world’s longest international border, which has been closed to non-essential traffic for more than a year to curb the spread of coronavirus.

“We recognize that in the coming weeks, when the number of vaccinated people grows and if we continue to see a reduction in COVID cases and hospitalizations, that we may be in a position to progressively loosen these measures,” Leblanc told reporters.

His comments come after Trudeau’s government began holding internal discussions about options available to loosen travel rules as vaccination rates rise and COVID-19 case counts drop on both sides of the Canada-U.S. border. Bloomberg News was first to report the talks last Friday.

His comments come after Trudeau’s government began holding internal discussions about options available to loosen travel rules as vaccination rates rise and COVID-19 case counts drop on both sides of the Canada-U.S. border. Bloomberg News was first to report the talks last Friday.

Canada closed the border it shares with its largest trading partner to all non-essential travel in March 2020. It later imposed a mandatory 14-day quarantine for anyone entering the country from abroad. Travellers must now present a negative COVID-19 test and foot the bill for additional tests and a three-day hotel quarantine before being allowed to leave confinement.

Trudeau, speaking to reporters Tuesday, flagged a 75 per cent vaccination rate as key threshold when asked about potentially reopening the border.

Almost 40 per cent of Canadians have received a first dose, but just over 3 per cent are fully inoculated, according to the Bloomberg Vaccine Tracker. By comparison, more than 48 per cent of Americans have had their first shot and 38 per cent are fully vaccinated.
 

Windsor37

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Jul 9, 2020
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Why would the US deport you? What line of work are you in? :)
I'm a microelectronics engineer. What I'm saying is if your under the H1B VISA program and the company you're working for suddenly decides to lay you off for reasons, the US will kick you out. Whereas if you're a PR in Canada, even if the company decides you're out, you get to stay in Canada.
 
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Rish92

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I reckon we should just wait and see how the situation unfolds in the new financial year. Until then, unless stated otherwise, I believe, high scoring FSW-O candidates can still be considered safe.

it is indeed a very dynamic situation. I’m myself planning to apply for Masters to get inland. Sitting at 478 CRS since Jan 2021.

My Australian visa expired in September 2020, so sitting jobless at home since then, in India, after spending 8 years in Australia. Applying for jobs both in Aus and Canada.
 
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tonitigers

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Apr 5, 2017
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I've been in the US the last 15 yrs. There are a dime a dozen MBAs here. It was easier earlier but now, if you're an international student and don't graduate from one of the top 10 (probably 5) MBA programs, you either don't find a job or you find one which pays diddly squat. After COVID hit, I've seen even Kellogg MBAs (WITH green cards/citizenship) unemployed and asking for referrals on LinkedIn.The new PM breed (product managers/program managers) have it much harder than 'managers' of the past - they know/need to know a lot more tech and work a lot harder to stay relevant. Outside tech, the PM role is largely a title change without as much pay.

Speaking of diddly squat, I know diddly squat about Canada but considering the canadian economy isn't as strong as the US, the number of worker jobs > manager jobs, and lots of MBAs and other 'management' folks immigrating there from India etc.. I'd think twice about shelling out money for an MBA if I were you. It might be easier but PR is only one step of your journey - the next is a job, a living, long term job security in Canada etc.

There are people who go to medical school in their mid-thirties. 29 is young af to be pigeon-holed.
An MBA from top 10 colleges or even in top 50 would lend you a decent job in the USA unless salary expectations are too high
 

tonitigers

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Apr 5, 2017
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Guys, especially those who are applying under OINP, if you are married, include your spouse and select the IELTS exam as NA. Then, If your score is 472 it will come down to 454 which is good enough for the tech draws. This can be applied to french stream as well. Thank me later.
Not able to understand why OINP puts a range and if you are over higher threshold then you are not invited , very irrational but looking for other inputs as well. You set up lower range but why to set up upper range , not sure .
 
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