For the score to be at 464 there needs to be at least 1800 pnp nominations within 9 days and you think it is possible to have 1800 nominees in 9 days. This is actually impossible so 464 is also impossible to see as a cutoff in the 21st draw.
Mark my word that there will be a draw on 21st August and the cutoff will be between 459-461 at max. Thanks
If draw was held on 7th, biweekly draw will be on 21st ie, after 14 days.
And 24th July and 7th August have a gap of 14 days.
if 24th Jul was 459
7th Aug approx 458
21 Aug approx 457-8
all in all, 1 or 2 point drop in 28 days.
Now, no draw happened on 7th but on 12th, 19 days, thus raising the cutoff score as more higher scoring applications were added to the pool.
If the next draw happens on 21st August, 9 days, why would the cutoff waver so much from 457-8 as higher scoring applicants will be lesser?
Considering addition of PNP applicants thus shifting the mean CRS higher, would it still cost 6 to 7 points?
As I understand, adding up 250-300 extra PNP applications in 9 days, the score should not go further than 461 at max.
A draw on 28th is a whole different mater.
Why are most people biased towards 464-5 even on 21st? I don't understand this.