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Do you think there's any chance that Canada might restrict the volume of immigration into the country by the end of this decade? more info given below

May 18, 2022
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This thought is something that keeps me up at night. It's been a dream of mine for a really long time to settle permanently in canada and I am planning on migrating to the country via the express entry route in 2027 or 2028.

How likely is it that the Canadian government might tighten restrictions on immigration by then? Will the CRS cut off be higher then?
 
 

Naturgrl

VIP Member
Apr 5, 2020
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This thought is something that keeps me up at night. It's been a dream of mine for a really long time to settle permanently in canada and I am planning on migrating to the country via the express entry route in 2027 or 2028.

How likely is it that the Canadian government might tighten restrictions on immigration by then? Will the CRS cut off be higher then?
No one can tell you. Governments change and programs like Express Entry may change. There will be immigration programs but they may be revamped and look different (eg. targeting specific NOCs) too. So be highly educated and skilled. Assume you have visited Canada.
 
May 18, 2022
10
0
No one can tell you. Governments change and programs like Express Entry may change. There will be immigration programs but they may be revamped and look different (eg. targeting specific NOCs) too. So be highly educated and skilled. Assume you have visited Canada.
Thank you for your reply. One last thing, do you think by 2027, the minimum CRS cut off might go down to the pre-pandemic levels (450 range)? Right now the cut offs are relatively high because of the backlogs. I hope the backlogs clear up by the time I apply. I am a software engineer by the way.
 

ImpatientKangaroo

Champion Member
Jul 28, 2021
2,814
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do you think by 2027, the minimum CRS cut off might go down to the pre-pandemic levels (450 range)?
Highly doubt it. Pre-pandemic levels (2019) were 465-470. You can verify on IRCC's website.

Take a look at the unofficial CRS cap for outland applicants:

- Single
- Younger than 30
- Has a master's degree
- Topped IELTS
- 3 years of work experience

and you get 481. This isn't very difficult to do given enough time to get the work experience. If you're that serious about moving to Canada, I'd start looking at master's degree options in Canada and/or start studying French. Majority of candidates (today) don't bother going through the hassle of getting a Canadian master's or learning French, so you would stand out.
 
May 18, 2022
10
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Highly doubt it. Pre-pandemic levels (2019) were 465-470. You can verify on IRCC's website.

Take a look at the unofficial CRS cap for outland applicants:

- Single
- Younger than 30
- Has a master's degree
- Topped IELTS
- 3 years of work experience

and you get 481. This isn't very difficult to do given enough time to get the work experience. If you're that serious about moving to Canada, I'd start looking at master's degree options in Canada and/or start studying French. Majority of candidates (today) don't bother going through the hassle of getting a Canadian master's or learning French, so you would stand out.
As per the Canadian government's official website, the minimum cut off for virtually every year before 2020 was around 449-453. Granted, the cut off usually plummets this low in the months of January and February.

Btw, thank you for your prompt response. I was also wondering if you could tell me whether I will almost definitely get an invite to apply if I have a crs score of 460+ in 2027? Do you think the cut offs will only increase as years go by?

I would really appreciate any insight you could give me.
 
 

ImpatientKangaroo

Champion Member
Jul 28, 2021
2,814
3,997
Do you think the cut offs will only increase as years go by?
Definitely, as they already have. I suggest you open up an Excel sheet, plot the cutoffs and you'll see. But I believe 481 will hold as not many people will care to learn French and/or get a Canadian master's.

I was also wondering if you could tell me whether I will almost definitely get an invite to apply if I have a crs score of 460+ in 2027?
Nobody can tell you but 460+ is quite risky already and hoping that it gets less risky in 5 years doesn't look like a good idea to me. Your formula is actually simple:

A. You have enough funds: Don't bother with French, go get a Canadian master's. Not only does it improve your chances in job hunt, but also boosts your CRS to the point you're guaranteed to get an ITA.

B. You don't have enough funds: French is your only real chance. If you don't already have a foreign master's with 3 years of experience and topped up IELTS, do that first. Then learn French, it can be cheap or even free.
 
May 18, 2022
10
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Definitely, as they already have. I suggest you open up an Excel sheet, plot the cutoffs and you'll see. But I believe 481 will hold as not many people will care to learn French and/or get a Canadian master's.



Nobody can tell you but 460+ is quite risky already and hoping that it gets less risky in 5 years doesn't look like a good idea to me. Your formula is actually simple:

A. You have enough funds: Don't bother with French, go get a Canadian master's. Not only does it improve your chances in job hunt, but also boosts your CRS to the point you're guaranteed to get an ITA.

B. You don't have enough funds: French is your only real chance. If you don't already have a foreign master's with 3 years of experience and topped up IELTS, do that first. Then learn French, it can be cheap or even free.
I can't thank you enough for your insights. I really appreciate it. One last thing, if I have one year of work experience in one noc code and two years of work experience in another noc code, does that count as three years of work experience? Will I have to get one more year of work experience in the latter noc occupation in order to claim three years of work experience?
 
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ImpatientKangaroo

Champion Member
Jul 28, 2021
2,814
3,997
if I have one year of work experience in one noc code and two years of work experience in another noc code, does that count as three years of work experience? Will I have to get one more year of work experience in the latter noc occupation in order to claim three years of work experience?
First you'll need to select a primary NOC, in which you'll need to have one full year of work experience (1560 hours). Then all of your other eligible NOCs (0, A or B) will count towards the 3 years you'll need for max work experience points. You won't have to put another year into the latter NOC given that your first NOC is eligible.

But don't most people in canada support immigration? This article represents the views of a minute fringe segment of the population,right?
Immigration is one of Canada's most crucial financial sources so Canada can never be openly against immigration. However, a good portion of Canadians are actually not too happy with the current level of immigration so I'd say there's a good chance the levels will be reduced in the coming years. That's another incentive why you should learn French and/or get a Canadian master's.

How's your financial situation? If you have the chance now, I'd just go get a meaningful master's in Canada.
 
May 18, 2022
10
0
First you'll need to select a primary NOC, in which you'll need to have one full year of work experience (1560 hours). Then all of your other eligible NOCs (0, A or B) will count towards the 3 years you'll need for max work experience points. You won't have to put another year into the latter NOC given that your first NOC is eligible.



Immigration is one of Canada's most crucial financial sources so Canada can never be openly against immigration. However, a good portion of Canadians are actually not too happy with the current level of immigration so I'd say there's a good chance the levels will be reduced in the coming years. That's another incentive why you should learn French and/or get a Canadian master's.

How's your financial situation? If you have the chance now, I'd just go get a meaningful master's in Canada.
But do you think the sentiments on immigration might change that fast? It's unlikely that the government would impose futher restrictions on immigration in the next 5 years or so,right? What do you think?

I do have the funds to study in canada but the problem is that I already have a master's degree in computer science (I am a software engineer) from a very prestigious UK University. I don't think spending substantial amount of money on another master's is gonna be worth it for me.

If I apply for PR by age 30, i will have about 482 crs points. At 31, around 477. I am confident that I'll ace the IELTS. I already took one for my uk admissions and got 8 overall. That was academic module and for immigration purposes, general module will suffice,which I heard is relatively easy.
 

ImpatientKangaroo

Champion Member
Jul 28, 2021
2,814
3,997
But do you think the sentiments on immigration might change that fast? It's unlikely that the government would impose futher restrictions on immigration in the next 5 years or so,right? What do you think?

I do have the funds to study in canada but the problem is that I already have a master's degree in computer science (I am a software engineer) from a very prestigious UK University. I don't think spending substantial amount of money on another master's is gonna be worth it for me.

If I apply for PR by age 30, i will have about 482 crs points. At 31, around 477. I am confident that I'll ace the IELTS. I already took one for my uk admissions and got 8 overall. That was academic module and for immigration purposes, general module will suffice,which I heard is relatively easy.
Your profile looks solid. Why wait until 2027 to apply?
 
May 18, 2022
10
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Your profile looks solid. Why wait until 2027 to apply?
I would like to get some more work experience in software engineering in the UK. I am given to understand that prior work experience in a western country will go a long way towards landing good jobs in canada. Also, there are some other person affairs that I have to take care of before I immigrate to Canada. So, I reckon I'll finally be able to apply by 2027(i will turn 30 in November of that year).

I hope Canada's immigration policies and the public's views on it don't radically change by then.
 
 

ImpatientKangaroo

Champion Member
Jul 28, 2021
2,814
3,997
I would like to get some more work experience in software engineering in the UK. I am given to understand that prior work experience in a western country will go a long way towards landing good jobs in canada. Also, there are some other person affairs that I have to take care of before I immigrate to Canada. So, I reckon I'll finally be able to apply by 2027(i will turn 30 in November of that year).

I hope Canada's immigration policies and the public's views on it don't radically change by then.
Experience in Canada beats experience in the UK (in Canadian employers' foolish opinion). Your experience in the UK will surely give you a good start but moving to Canada sooner and starting to work in Canada sooner would be the better plan in my opinion.

How many years of work experience do you have in your field?
 
May 18, 2022
10
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Experience in Canada beats experience in the UK (in Canadian employers' foolish opinion). Your experience in the UK will surely give you a good start but moving to Canada sooner and starting to work in Canada sooner would be the better plan in my opinion.

How many years of work experience do you have in your field?
Only one year of experience in software development. I also have two years of work experience as a data analyst.

You don't think the immigration policies would change substantially in the next few years, do you ? Not at least till 2027,right?