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Ray of Hope - 92nd Draw

abhishek_89

Champion Member
Feb 9, 2017
1,619
3,036
Toronto, Canada
Category........
FSW
NOC Code......
2173
App. Filed.......
26-05-2017
AOR Received.
26-05-2017
Med's Done....
22-05-2017
Passport Req..
24-07-2017
VISA ISSUED...
04-08-2017
LANDED..........
16-03-2018
JUNE 06, 2018 - DRAW PREDICTION:

I have come up with the prediction for the 93rd draw.

If it happens today (Jun 6) with:
3500 ITAs - CRS 439
3750 ITAs - CRS 439
4000 ITAs - CRS 439


The variance in the above calculation is +/- 2 CRS.

Please find below the CRS cut off in case the number of ITAs issued is more/less than the predicted ITA count:

 

monkeyspanner

Hero Member
Sep 7, 2017
341
99
Canada
Category........
CEC
App. Filed.......
25-10-2017
AOR Received.
25-10-2017
Med's Done....
08-11-2017
Passport Req..
19-12-2017
JUNE 06, 2018 - DRAW PREDICTION:

I have come up with the prediction for the 93rd draw.

If it happens today (Jun 6) with:
3500 ITAs - CRS 439
3750 ITAs - CRS 439
4000 ITAs - CRS 439


The variance in the above calculation is +/- 2 CRS.

Please find below the CRS cut off in case the number of ITAs issued is more/less than the predicted ITA count:

Looks like you are assuming the 431 to 440 points range is a linear distribution across the range. Is this based on an analysis of possible points combinations? Isn't it more likely that the distribution of candidates would be skewed towards the bottom end of this points range? Particularly as some of the 440 points candidates were taken two weeks ago. Not a criticism, just interested. Lets hope it doesn't fall back to 3000 or its not another week to go! Best of luck.