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Ray of Hope 63rd Draw

arunroy007

Star Member
Jan 4, 2017
188
407
Virginia Beach
Category........
FSW
NOC Code......
2172
App. Filed.......
10-11-2016
IELTS Request
06-25-2016
After the changes (June 6), there will likely be an increase CRS 420-423, then we may relax, we may see CRS falling down up to 380 in 3-4 months from now.
Absolutely Wrong. By June 6th most likely everyone above 400 will be flushed at this rate. Now only folks who are above 385 AND have siblings OR who have good French skills would affect scores above 400.

Lets look at the numbers.
From the current pool
CRS 391-400 3,581
CRS 381-390 4,331 ~2500 above 385

so there are a total of ~6000 between 385 and 400. If there are 5% of folks here with siblings in Canada, we have ~300 who would get scores more than 400

about French, most of the folks who know french would already be in Canada. If we look up at numbers - folks who can speak French and already in the pool and have a good score in french .. there could be 1% in the pool counting to 60 who can affect scores above 400

so we have a total of ~360 who could affect scores above 400 which is 10% of an average draw

even if we take very liberal numbers, their count will not come to more than 20% of an average pool. So their effect to score is minimal and the scores are sure to come down.
 
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Narayan987

Star Member
Jul 14, 2014
190
24
Toronto
Category........
Visa Office......
Singapore
Job Offer........
Pre-Assessed..
App. Filed.......
01-07-2014
IELTS Request
Overall 7.0
Med's Request
29-07-2014
Med's Done....
03-08-2014
Passport Req..
03-08-2014
VISA ISSUED...
12-08-2014
LANDED..........
27-08-2014
You should get ITA with 434 points hopefully :) You can wait and see how it goes for the next two draws.

We have 45 days to apply for the Nomination if i am not wrong.

I received an NOI too..only two days after creating my EE profile.. but wondering if I should accept it or let it go.
 
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Immime2017

Star Member
May 5, 2017
97
141
Let's all hope and pray it's tomorrow, because if it's not, the score won't go down by much on may 31st, may be one or two points at most.
 

nilanjana

Star Member
May 12, 2017
162
82
Australia
IELTS Request
03-12-2016
Hey Guys,
My CRS is 411. My lawyer just submitted my EE profile and asked me to create the job bank account as there were some personal questions that he felt he won't be able to answer. Anyway, I have created the job bank profile. It is saying "your profile was activated". Does this mean that it is really activated? Or would it take 24 hours and I will get an email once it is activated? Also, does this mean if there is a draw tomorrow and the cut-off is 411 or lower I will not be getting an ITA?
Any reply/suggestion/comment would be highly appreciated.
Thanks
 
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M DEV

Hero Member
May 2, 2017
450
266
M
Hey Guys,
My CRS is 411. My lawyer just submitted my EE profile and asked me to create the job bank account as there were some personal questions that he felt he won't be able to answer. Anyway, I have created the job bank profile. It is saying "your profile was activated". Does this mean that it is really activated? Or would it take 24 hours and I will get an email once it is activated? Also, does this mean if there is a draw tomorrow and the cut-off is 411 or lower I will not be getting an ITA?
Any reply/suggestion/comment would be highly appreciated.
Thanks
If it says so...That means Ur account is active now n u ll receive ita in the next draw....But u need to have an email acknowledging that Ur job bank is now created.