After going through last 10 pages (again & again) I have finally decided to put forth my feelings ....... same topic .... confusing and refusing part of so called 'completed applications
' ....it's like ...hmmm...... final nail in the coffin..
In my opinion, the things are working out like this -
(1) Only 20,000 complete FSW applications (1000 max. per NOC) will be considered for processing .... that does
mean - same # of AORs will be released (also that processing fees for 20,000 applicants will be credited into the bank). Here AOR means (I know everybody is aware of AOR!!)
- Acknowledgment given with a reference # .... that application has been accepted for processing.
(2) 1K/20K complete FSW application
means complete in all aspects .... passed Completeness check + Eligibility review. After these 2 steps ONLY, the application has to be counted under the CAP ..... & AOR will be generated
(3) Last stage (Selection & admissibility) - Considering the nature of this stage, we can assume that 50% review will be done at CIO & 50% at VO. During this stage if somebody gets a negative & is disqualified / rejected ...... his P/fees will not be refunded ....though he might have received an AOR!!!
The recent update by CIO - 'Complete applications received towards the overall cap : 2226 of 20,000 as of 10/19/2010' ... I honestly feel that these applicants have passed their Eligibility review .... that's why considered into the CAP. And because they have given this Breaking news
on 19 Oct 2010, hence mentioned - as of October 19, 2010. It does NOT mean that they have assessed ALL the applications received till 19 Oct. But looking at the number of applicants in this lists (& communication with CIO) also states that the review might have been done till Aug end / 1st week of Sept 2010.
Anyway, even if we don't receive any AORs....
... we will come to know about this fact within 10 days.....
....I would rather say by tomorrow itself....... As we are assuming that CIO might have received 1000s of applications in Sept/Oct ...... we can very well assume that 1/4th of successful applicants will be from 1122 (I have taken the most conservative figure ....it should have been 1/3rd!!!) .... considering just 120 eligible applications per day (out of 150) - 30 will be for 1122; 600 / 150 in a week; CIO has to update their site with this information!!! If it is more than this assumed figure..... I feel there are 100s of applications pending. AND if the number is less than 600/150 ...... means CIO is updated with its current situation (may be a week delay max.)
I know I have increased the confusion and added one more layer of discussion
I will be adding one more post later
.............. Thanks for bearing me....
Hi Anil, I am in complete agreement with you that these numbers represent those which have passed their eligibility review.
What is confusing now is that 2 members have reported phoning up CIC, to be told that they will not hear anything for another 33 weeks. Two seperate people have been told the same number of weeks. That's EIGHT MONTHS. Others phoning pre-June-26 were reporting 10 week delays.
They surely cannot take 33 weeks to do an eligibility review, especially since we strongly suspect they have already done over 2000 eligiblity reviews. So my only conclusion, IF this is true, is that under the new process there are no AORs issued. The first thing we'll hear is from visa office - i.e. medical requests, request for further documents/info or rejection.
However, even if no AORs are being issued, surely anyone who fails their eligibility review will be getting their application back soon.
So, we should be able to start working some things out - i.e. if you get encashed and then go X weeks without having your application back, then it's highly likely you made it through eligibility review into the visa office. This is the same way those who cannot tell if their BD is encashed work out if they passed the completeness check or not.
Tbh if there are no AORs I think this is exceptionally poor from CIC. People spend weeks (some people months) preparing their application, spending $500 CAD per person only to hear nothing at all for months and months and months. Any other industry in which you paid a company $500 and they didn't even reply to their customers would never get away with this! How hard would it be to just send a quick email + file number after eligibility review is passed?
Well perhaps we might have a slightly clearer picture tomorrow if CIC update their list of NOC CAP numbers.