No AOR for May / June/ post 26 June
Every one is checking this forum on daily basis, few members on hourly basis – lot of guess work & motivation to each other. we have no updates on CIC website since 23 Aug 2010, increases the curiosity what is happening.
Looks like the things really went out of control, with the application handling capacity (tolerance limit) of CIC, in the time frame of Q2 2010 (April – June). CIC has received unexpected number of applications and not able to cop up. This may be one of the reasons on 25 June 2010 CIC came up with a new rule, even did not wait for June month to be over. As per old statistics CIC each month gets 50,000+ applications (given on CIC website http://www.cic.gc.ca/english/resources/statistics/data-release/2010-Q1/index.asp
) but this time it might have broken the past records with some multiple.
As CIC has May & June 2010 AOR pending they may only issue AOR for post 26/6 after that. The reasons I think are:
1. CIC might have formed a new team to check if the documents are (CIO + VO specific) attached at the time of receiving the courier.
Once they clear the application (receiving point) it may go to the standard (old) process of charging the credit cards / DD. Once CC/BD team clears the application again goes through the standard process of checking the CIO specific forms and getting first approval AOR. The forms are same as pre 26/6 so the above process would be same. No major differences are mentioned in OP6 also, till first AOR.
2. Once the first AOR is issued the new process would be taking over at CIO (detailed evaluation & eligibility checking 67 marks process).
So as the process of first AOR looks similar the post 26/6 people may have to wait till pre June 2010 is clear with AOR.
Yes this is highly possible, in which case post-June-26th applicants would not expect to receive an AOR until at least November, maybe even December. Very annoying length of time to wait until you even find out if you have passed the eligibility check!
I really don't see how hard it would be for CIC to at least give more accurate updates on their website. Like
- We are currently processing applications from May 10th for eligibility review
- Current expected time to received AOR from date of card charging is 10 weeks
And update it at least once per week. Would take someone 5 minutes!
There current news is useless. It just says that they have no clue about post-June-26th applications and prior to that they are processing "up to June 26th" but they are not saying where FROM, so once again pretty useless.
The only that leads me to believe they might put a separate team on the post-June-26th eligibility reviews is because of the NOC caps. It is conceivable that some of the NOCs already have more than 1000 applications - but if CIC leave it several months before doing their eligibility reviews then many more thousands of applications will be received by CIC which have no chance of success before they even get there.
By putting such a delay on eligibility reviews AND still enforcing NOC caps they are going to be wasting millions of hours and a lot of applicants' money in document preparation.
This is what leads me to believe they might want to put priority on post-June-26th applications, because of this NOC cap situation.