Hi guys,
Along the line with our on going discussion about CIC's proposal on changes effecting FSW, I did some back of the envelope calculations about excess demand and excess supply of the current 29 occupations based on the URL:
http://www23.hrsdc.gc.ca/w.2lc.4m.2 @ -eng.jsp. HRSDC project the figures in the period of 2011 and 2020.
The figures may not reveal much about the 4 digit occupation code since HRSDC only project job demand and supply figures based on first 3 digit. In many cases, it means the figures only reflect a bigger group of occupations as a whole, not exactly the occupation in FSW list. If you guys know better resources to calculate the numbers, please tell us. Though I am not a fan of quantitative studies and I am not sure how precise HRSDC projections are, it seems that CIC will rely on these figures to decide which occupations will get priority or be left behind in queue. For example, as some of you guys said before, CIC'll prioritise applications from doctors as it said in the press release on its website. All three doctors' NOC codes 3111, 3112, 3113 belong to "Physicians, Dentists And Veterinarians", which is projected to have 10,097 jobs unfilled due to lack of job seekers between 2011-2020. Surprisingly, cooks, chefs, plumbers, welders are not foreseen as occupations in high demand at all as expected.
Personally, I find Kenney is too rational to become crazy when he proposes the changes based those dry figures to decide the fates of genuine applicants. But I won't be startled if CIC proposal for those changes is approved given what happened with pre 2008 applicants. In that case, those occupations in excess demand in HRSDC predictions will go into process faster.
saratracy
For Managers In Food Service And Accommodation, over the period of 2011-2020, job openings are expected to total 80,630. It is expected that 80,352 job seekers will be available to fill these job openings. 278 0631
For Managers In Primary Production (Except Agriculture), over the period of 2011-2020, job openings are expected to total 6,410. It is expected that 7,071 job seekers will be available to fill these job openings. -661 0811
For Human Resources And Business Service Professionals, over the period of 2011-2020, job openings are expected to total 116,312. It is expected that 95,425 job seekers will be available to fill these job openings. 20,887 1122
For Finance And Insurance Administrative Occupations, over the period of 2011-2020, job openings are expected to total 110,024. It is expected that 80,724 job seekers will be available to fill these job openings. 29,300 1233
For Life Science Professionals, over the period of 2011-2020, job openings are expected to total 10,242. It is expected that 10,875 job seekers will be available to fill these job openings. -633 2121
For Architects, Urban Planners And Land Surveyors, over the period of 2011-2020, job openings are expected to total 13,109. It is expected that 12,628 job seekers will be available to fill these job openings. 481 2151
For Physicians, Dentists And Veterinarians, over the period of 2011-2020, job openings are expected to total 56,663. It is expected that 46,566 job seekers will be available to fill these job openings. 10,097 3111, 3112, 3113
For Pharmacists, Dietitians And Nutritionists, over the period of 2011-2020, job openings are expected to total 12,837. It is expected that 15,097 job seekers will be available to fill these job openings. -2,260 3131
For Therapy And Assessment Professionals, over the period of 2011-2020, job openings are expected to total 21,798. It is expected that 23,870 job seekers will be available to fill these job openings. -2,072 3142
For Nurse Supervisors And Registered Nurses, over the period of 2011-2020, job openings are expected to total 159,613. It is expected that 128,671 job seekers will be available to fill these job openings. 30,942 3152
For Medical Technologists And Technicians (Except Dental Health), over the period of 2011-2020, job openings are expected to total 39,603. It is expected that 41,321 job seekers will be available to fill these job openings. -1,718 3215
For Technical Occupations In Dental Health Care, over the period of 2011-2020, job openings are expected to total 10,091. It is expected that 9,664 job seekers will be available to fill these job openings. 427 3222
For Other Technical Occupations In Health Care (Except Dental), over the period of 2011-2020, job openings are expected to total 61,310. It is expected that 56,447 job seekers will be available to fill these job openings. 4863 3233
For Psychologists, Social Workers, Counsellors, Clergy And Probation Officers, over the period of 2011-2020, job openings are expected to total 76,240. It is expected that 68,988 job seekers will be available to fill these job openings 7252 4151, 4152
For Chefs And Cooks, over the period of 2011-2020, job openings are expected to total 76,058. It is expected that 94,612 job seekers will be available to fill these job openings. -18,554 6241,6241
For Contractors And Supervisors, Trades And Related Workers, over the period of 2011-2020, job openings are expected to total 100,094. It is expected that 92,352 job seekers will be available to fill these job openings. 7,742 7215, 7216
For Electrical Trades And Telecommunications Occupations, over the period of 2011-2020, job openings are expected to total 86,458. It is expected that 71,450 job seekers will be available to fill these job openings. 15,008 7241
For Plumbers, Pipefitters And Gas Fitters, over the period of 2011-2020, job openings are expected to total 22,157. It is expected that 31,686 job seekers will be available to fill these job openings. -9,529 7251
For Metal Forming, Shaping And Erecting Occupations, over the period of 2011-2020, job openings are expected to total 45,708. It is expected that 52,751 job seekers will be available to fill these job openings. -7,043 7265
For Machinery And Transportation Equipment Mechanics (Except MotorVehicle), over the period of 2011-2020, job openings are expected to total 76,236. It is expected that 75,688 job seekers will be available to fill these job openings. 548 7312
For Crane Operators, Drillers And Blasters, over the period of 2011-2020, job openings are expected to total 7,657. It is expected that 6,700 job seekers will be available to fill these job openings. 957 7371,7372
For Supervisors, Mining, Oil And Gas, over the period of 2011-2020, job openings are expected to total 12,928. It is expected that 5,514 job seekers will be available to fill these job openings. 7,414 8222
Very nice post Saratracy, +1, I was on that website myself last night looking at my own NOC, it is kind of you to do the work for everyone
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